Minda Corporation Ltd
Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis
Auto Components
fundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 2orderbook: Yes
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- The company typically spends about 5% to 6% of its topline on depreciation.
- Of this, approximately 2% to 3% is allocated to R&D.
- Around 1% to 2% goes into greenfield projects or plant operations.
- Another 1% to 2% is spent on regular maintenance capex.
- In fiscal 2022-23, the company capitalized about INR 280 crores in capex.
- The full-year impact of this depreciation and increased capacity utilization is expected in coming quarters.
- There is ongoing investment in local adaptation and field trials for advanced products like ADAS (Advanced Rider Assistance Safety Solutions).
- The company also evaluates potential diversification opportunities, including partnerships, organic growth, and investments in startups for additional growth.
- A current strategic investment includes an equity investment under review by the Competition Commission of India (CCI).
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Minda Corporation targets long-term growth of about 20%+ year-on-year in revenues and volumes.
- Committed to outperforming industry growth with innovations, premiumization, and new customer acquisitions.
- Growth levers include:
- Improving wiring harness division EBITDA from single-digit to double-digit within 2 years.
- Expanding exports and aftermarket segments.
- Enhancing product mix in commercial vehicles, two-wheelers, and four-wheelers, including EVs.
- EV segment penetration expected to grow from current 4-5% to 10-20% over coming years.
- Lifetime order wins (INR 3,000 crores in Q1 FY24) will contribute to future sales, with a 2-3 year ramp-up to peak production.
- Focus on technology, in-house R&D, operational excellence, cost leadership, and increased productivity to support growth.
- Export sales expected to recover gradually from Q3 FY24 onwards.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Minda Corporation targets long-term revenue growth of about 20%+ annually.
- EBITDA margin goal is to reach approximately 12%-13%, up from the current ~10.7%-11%.
- Major growth drivers include:
- Wiring harness division improving from single-digit to double-digit EBITDA within two years.
- Expansion in exports, aftermarket, and premiumization across commercial vehicles, two-wheelers, and four-wheelers.
- Increasing proportion of EV-related product sales (currently ~6% of revenue, expected to grow).
- Operational excellence focus to enhance productivity, reduce raw material, and working capital costs.
- EBITDA margin improvement expected but not targeting 15% in near term.
- Profit after tax margins likely to improve from current ~4.2% as finance cost and depreciation stabilize.
- Strong order book (~INR 3,000 crores in Q1 with 50% EV share) supports future revenue growth.
- Prudent capex (~5%-6% of revenue) allocated for R&D, greenfield projects, and maintenance.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- Minda Corporation Limited reported lifetime order wins of approximately INR 3,000 crores in Q1 FY24.
- Of these, around INR 400 crores are replacement businesses, and about INR 2,600 crores are new businesses.
- Exports account for approximately INR 138 crores of the order wins.
- In FY22, lifetime order wins were about INR 1,500 crores and INR 2,600 crores in FY23.
- Orders typically take 1.5 to 2 years for start of production, with the peak revenue expected 2 to 3 years from order win.
- For the INR 1,500 crores order book won earlier, approximately INR 350-400 crores revenue is expected annually, with production starting in H2 FY24 and peaking in FY25.
- 50% of recent lifetime orders are from the electric vehicle (EV) mobility segment.
- A significant battery charger order worth Rs. 750 crores lifetime was won from a leading OEM.
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- As of the Q1 FY24 earnings call (August 03, 2023), the net debt stood at INR 462 crores as of June 30.
- The management has not provided any specific update or guidance regarding new fundraising through debt or equity during the call.
- There was a mention of an equity investment in a listed company under review by the Competition Commission of India (CCI), but no updates on new fundraising tied to that.
- The company continues capital expenditure primarily funded through existing resources, maintaining consistent capex levels (~5%-6% of topline).
- No explicit plans or announcements for fresh debt or equity fundraising were disclosed in the discussed period.
