Minda Corporation Ltd

Q3 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

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Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 4margin: Category 2orderbook: No information
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- Minda Corporation currently maintains a net-zero debt position when considering the value of investments. - Over the next 2-3 years, the company plans to undertake capital expenditure (capex) of about INR 300-350 crores per annum. - This planned capex is expected to be largely funded through internal accruals and cash flow generation. - There is no mention of any immediate or planned fundraising through debt or equity in the earnings call transcript. - The company emphasizes maintaining strong financial metrics, including a focus on ROCE above 20%, indicating prudent capital allocation. - Any inorganic acquisitions or capital allocation will be done without diluting ROCE, underscoring financial discipline. In summary, Minda Corporation does not indicate any current or near-term plans for fundraising through debt or equity, relying mainly on internal accruals for funding growth.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Minda Corporation has acquired 24 acres of land in Uttar Pradesh for future expansion. - They are investing in setting up new manufacturing facilities, including two new die-casting plants in West and North India for expanding into aluminium cast business and catering to EV and 4-wheeler segment demand. - A new plant for Sunroof Closure Systems in Pune is on track for commissioning in Q1 FY26, with possible slight delay of one or two months. - Ongoing investments are focused on building capabilities, competencies, and capacities across various segments to deliver on existing order wins. - The company is investing strategically in localization and backward integration to reduce import costs and enhance competitiveness, especially in electronics, connectors, and components. - Capex over the next 2-3 years is expected to be financed largely through internal accruals, maintaining a net-zero debt position when considering investments. - They continue to explore inorganic partnerships as part of growth strategy, adhering to financial metrics like ROCE above 20%.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- The company is confident of achieving double-digit sales growth in the mid to long term, aiming beyond the current ~8% growth rate. - Domestic revenue has grown ahead of the industry despite challenges in export and commercial vehicle segments. - Order book indicates future peak revenues starting 18-24 months from order wins, with new business comprising about 60% of this. - Expansion in new product lines like power tailgate, flush door handles, charging connectors, Sanco products, die casting for EVs, and electronics vertical indicates diversified growth avenues. - Localization and backward integration efforts are expected to boost competitiveness and reduce import dependence. - Export revenue growth target is mid to long term 10-15%, up from current ~7%. - Commercial vehicle segment expected to improve with government infrastructure spend and policy support. - New facilities planned, including sunroof and closure systems plant expected by Q1 FY26, supporting growth.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Minda Corporation is focused on quality of earnings, aiming for economically more value-accretive growth. - The company has consistently grown EBITDA both in absolute terms and margin percentage (around 11.4% in Q2), with a target to reach about 12% EBITDA margin. - Management is confident about achieving double-digit sales growth. - The focus is on sustainable and consistent EBITDA growth outpacing revenue growth. - ROCE is a key financial metric, with targets around 20-25%, ensuring disciplined capital allocation without diluting returns. - Margin improvement is driven by localization, cost optimization, and premiumization of products. - Management expects the quality of product mix and sustained customers to drive better profitability. - Expansion into new product lines and sectors (e.g., EV components, wiring harness, die casting) supports future earnings growth. - Overall, the company projects strong, sustainable growth in profits and EPS aligned with an improving revenue base and operational leverage.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Minda Corporation's total lifetime order book as of H1 FY25 is approximately INR 4,750 crores. - In Q2 FY25 alone, lifetime order wins were over INR 2,400 crores, with electric vehicle platforms constituting about 25% of these wins. - Annual peak revenues from the order book are estimated by dividing the total order book by 4 or 5. - Start of production typically begins 12 to 18 months after winning business, with peak value expected around 2.5 years from the order win. - The order book segment mix aligns with current revenues: ~40% 2-wheeler and 3-wheeler, ~20% 4-wheeler, and the remainder in commercial vehicles and off-road. - Some orders include segments like sunroof and closure systems, with a facility being set up for these products, expected for commissioning around Q1 FY26. - Replacement business typically forms around 40% of the order book, with new business constituting 60%.