Mishtann Foods Ltd

Q3 FY21 Earnings Call Analysis

Food Products

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 1orderbook: Yes
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- The company aims to reduce existing debt, which has decreased from Rs. 48 crores to around Rs. 38-39 crores in 2021, with an objective to become debt-free as soon as possible. - Future debt raising will be minimized; the company prefers a combination ("combo") of funding options including unsecured deposits, low or non-interest bearing deposits, and possibly issuing a small number of shares. - Promoters, who are financially strong, are expected to contribute capital to fund growth and marketing, reducing reliance on external debt. - Marketing expenses, including a national brand ambassador, will be funded out of cash accruals and promoter contributions without significant debt increase. - Overall, fundraising will be cautious and controlled with a preference for promoter funding and minimal debt or equity dilution.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- The company plans to utilize existing installed capacity to reach Rs. 1000 crores turnover in the next 1000 days without adding new capacity, indicating no immediate large capex on capacity expansion. - They have significant storage capacity (3 lakh sq.ft.), with options to lease additional warehousing or create in-house warehousing if needed, suggesting some possible investment in storage facilities. - Marketing spends will be increased, including hiring a national brand ambassador, estimated in the late two-figure to early three-figure lakhs range, possibly involving capital for brand promotion rather than physical assets. - There is mention of a "combo" funding approach including promoters injecting capital, unsecured or low-interest deposits, and potentially small equity issuance, indicating strategic financial investment rather than asset-heavy capex. - Opening a new office in Dubai to push exports, which implies some capital investment in overseas office setup. - The company is cautious in export scale-up, focusing on risk-mitigated orders backed by letters of credit or advance payments, showing controlled strategic expansion.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Mishtann Foods expects to reach Rs. 600 crores revenue in FY22, leveraging festival seasons and new products. - The company targets Rs. 1000 crores turnover within the next 1000 days (~3 years) without additional capacity expansion, currently operating at only 15% capacity utilization. - EBITDA margins have improved significantly, reaching near 9% in Q2 FY22, with expectations of hitting double-digit margins soon and potentially exceeding 20% in 2-3 years. - Growth strategies include expanding geographical presence to North-East India, Hindi-speaking regions, Punjab, Haryana, Himachal Pradesh, and Jammu & Kashmir. - Export orders worth Rs. 60 crores secured for FY22; cautious but controlled export expansion planned with risk mitigation through letters of credit and advance payments. - Aging Basmati rice for 6 months to 2 years to improve profit margins by up to 20%. - Marketing spend is planned in low double to early triple-digit million rupees range, including hiring a national brand ambassador.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- EBITDA margin improved from ~2% in FY2020-21 to nearly 9% by Q2 FY22, expected to reach double digits soon and potentially 12-15% by year-end. - Operating margins targeted to exceed 20% in the next 2-3 years, driven by product aging strategies and expanded markets. - Revenues projected to cross Rs. 600 crores in FY22, from a low base and partial-year operations, with a long-term target of Rs. 1000 crores turnover in the next 1000 days without needing additional capacity. - Profit after tax grew ~86% quarter-over-quarter in Q2 FY22, supported by improved margins and export orders. - EPS expected to benefit from rising margins and scaling operations, with increasing export orders and aging premium products boosting profitability. - The company aims to sustain profitability improvements with new products, expanded distribution especially in North-Eastern India, and a strong brand strategy.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Mishtann Foods Limited currently has confirmed export orders worth Rs. 60 crores. - These orders are backed by letters of credit or advance payments, ensuring total risk mitigation. - The company is cautious about increasing exports aggressively and will only do so with secured payment guarantees. - Plans to start direct exports post-Diwali following successful test cases. - The export market presents a huge opportunity, but the company will exercise restraint if volatility arises. - Export orders of Rs. 60 crores are expected to grow, with potential for a significant increase in the coming financial year. - Domestic demand remains strong with expanding retailer network and capacity utilization expected to rise from the current 15%.