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Mold-Tek Packaging LtdQ2 FY24

Mold-Tek Packaging Ltd Q2 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 702P/E: 32.3Market Cap: ₹2.3K CrSector: Industrial Products

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

1 of 3 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Volume growth guidance for FY '25 is around 15%, with a higher run rate of 17% needed in the remaining 9 months due to a moderate Q1 growth of 7.5%.
  • Pharma segment is expected to grow significantly, contributing around INR15-20 crores in FY '25 with higher EBITDA, and potentially pushing turnover to INR50-60 crores by FY '26.
  • Qpacks are growing rapidly, with expectations of 40-50% volume growth in the Food & FMCG segment.
  • ABG segment capacity expansions (especially Cheyyar and Mahad plants) will add over 1,000 tons/month volume, supporting growth.
  • Paints sector growth is expected around 8-10%, driven by ABG and other clients.
  • Overall volumes grew by 7.5% in Q1 with a recent trend showing improvement, targeting continued growth from Q3 onward.
  • The company aims to reach INR1,000 crores top line and INR100 crores PAT by FY '26/'27 largely driven by pharma and ABG expansions.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • The company targets overall volume growth of around 15% for FY '25, with a high run rate needed in last 3 quarters.
  • Pharma segment expected to significantly contribute from Q3 FY '25, with turnover potential of INR50-60 crores by FY '26, and handsome EBITDA of INR100-150 per kg depending on product mix.
  • EBITDA per kg target is 40 by end of FY '25, up from 37.1 in Q1 FY '25, driven by pharma contribution and ramp-up in ABG capacities.
  • Capex for FY '25 is estimated at INR75-80 crores (vs INR140 crores last year) aimed at capacity expansion for ABG and pharma.
  • Revenue could approach INR1,000 crores in FY '25/'26, with PAT potentially crossing INR100 crores if pharma growth materializes well by FY '26/'27.
  • Increased capacity utilization expected from Q3 onwards in pharma and ABG plants will drive improved earnings.

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Fundraise plans

  • The company has committed capex of around INR 55 to 58 crores for various expansions in FY '25.
  • If volumes grow in pharma, additional growth investment might be required in the second half of the year.
  • Overall capex for FY '25 is expected to be around INR 75 to 80 crores, compared to INR 140 crores last year.
  • No direct mention or indication of new fundraising through debt or equity was made in the transcript.
  • Focus seems to be on utilizing internal accruals and existing resources for capacity expansion and ramp-up.

Order book

  • The company is witnessing strong indications for volume ramp-up, especially from pharma and ABG plants starting Q2 and Q3.
  • For pharma, orders are developing rapidly with 4 major clients auditing and approving the company as a vendor; several products are in final development stages.
  • Expected pharma sales: INR 80 lakhs in Q1, INR 2-2.5 crores in Q2, and INR 5-6 crores in Q3 and Q4, totaling INR 15-20 crores for the year.
  • ABG paints plant (including Mahad starting September/October) expected to add more than 1,000 tons per month in volumes.
  • Expansion efforts are ongoing with loading expected by December for new volumes, aiming to double capacity, particularly in North India.
  • Overall volume guidance remains mid-teens (around 15%) growth for FY '25, supported by pharma and ABG orderbooks.
  • Utilization at ABG plants currently around 40-45%, expected to reach 50-60% in the full year.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Current committed capex for FY '25 is around INR 55 to 58 crores for various expansions.
  • Additional growth investment in pharma may raise total capex to INR 75 to 80 crores by year-end.
  • Capacity expansions include increasing ABG plants' capacity by 60% to 75% at Cheyyur and Mahad.
  • Mahad plant will start supply from September/October, adding to volume growth.
  • Pharma plant capacity may be enhanced with auxiliary machines within 3-4 months if needed.
  • Capex in FY '25 is lower than last year's INR 140 crores.
  • The company aims to double ABG capacities and expand pharmaceutical capacity to boost growth.

How does Mold-Tek Packaging Ltd rank vs peers in Industrial Products?

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1Mold-Tek Packaging Ltd
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