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Nandan Denim LtdQ1 FY16

Nandan Denim Ltd Q1 FY16 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 2.46P/E: 11.8Market Cap: ₹402 CrSector: Textiles & Apparels

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 2

Fundraise

Yes

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Nandan Denim expects double-digit growth in FY17 driven by capacity expansion and increased market share.
  • Export business has doubled in 3 years (from Rs 70 crore in FY13 to Rs 140 crore in FY16), with further improvements targeted in next 2-3 years.
  • Post capacity expansion, installed Denim fabric manufacturing capacity will reach 110 million meters, making Nandan the largest denim manufacturer in Asia.
  • Major volume growth will come from new capacities becoming operational (increase from ~100 million meters to 120 million meters).
  • Capacity utilization currently around 82%, with limited scope for improvement; volume growth primarily from added capacity.
  • Focus on expanding domestic market share and global footprint.
  • Emphasis on developing value-added denim products and diversifying customer base to sustain growth and margins.

Margin guidance

Category 2
  • The company targets double-digit growth in FY17, supported by capacity expansion coming on stream.
  • EBITDA margins improved from around 14% two years ago to 16.5% in FY16, with expectations of further margin enhancement as integration improves.
  • Capacity expansion (completion by H1 FY17) will lead to increased denim fabric capacity (110 million meters) and spinning capacity (124 tons/day), enabling higher in-house yarn production (80-85%), which is margin accretive.
  • Focus on value-added denim products and moving up the value chain to improve realizations and sustain ROE above 20%, potentially peaking around 24-25%.
  • Efforts on market development, product R&D, and customer diversification to drive sustainable profits and counter commoditization challenges.
  • Exports have doubled from Rs. 70 crore in FY13 to Rs. 140 crore in FY16, with further improvements expected over the next 2-3 years.
  • Overall, the company is optimistic about improving operating margins and profitability with completed expansions and strategic initiatives.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • As of May 31, 2016, Nandan Denim Limited has incurred CAPEX of Rs. 400 Crore out of a total announced Rs. 600 Crore expansion plan.
  • The remaining Rs. 200 Crore CAPEX is likely to be incurred during H1 FY17.
  • The expansion is funded approximately 70-80% through debt and 20-30% through equity.
  • Current outstanding debt is around Rs. 520 Crore, with expected peak debt between Rs. 600 to 650 Crores based on working capital utilization.
  • The company has repayment liabilities of about Rs. 54-55 Crore annually.
  • No specific plans for fresh fundraising through additional debt or equity beyond the ongoing CAPEX funding were mentioned.

Order book

  • The transcript does not explicitly provide details on the current or expected order book or pending orders for Nandan Denim Limited.
  • However, the company is optimistic about growth with expanding capacities expected to be operational by H1 FY17, which should drive volume growth.
  • The management highlights aggressive business development efforts targeting both domestic and international markets.
  • They expect a significant increase in exports and market share over the next 2-3 years.
  • Capacity expansion to 120 million meters (110 million Denim + 10 million shirting) indicates readiness to handle increased orders.
  • Supply chain and integration improvements (spinning capacity increase to 124 tons/day, in-house yarn production of 80-85%) aim to support meeting demand efficiently.
  • Overall, order inflows are expected to improve with widening customer base and value-added product focus, but no exact order book figures are mentioned.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Nandan Denim is in the middle of a major capacity expansion plan with a total CAPEX of Rs. 600 Crore.
  • As of March 31, 2016, Rs. 400 Crore has already been incurred, with an additional Rs. 200 Crore expected to be spent by H1 FY17.
  • Post-expansion, the installed Denim fabric manufacturing capacity will increase to 110 million meters per annum, making them the largest Denim manufacturer in Asia.
  • Spinning capacity will increase from 70 tons per day to 124 tons per day, enabling production of 80-85% of required yarn in-house.
  • The expansion is funded approximately 70-80% by debt, with peak debt expected between Rs. 600 to Rs. 650 Crore.
  • Completion is expected by mid-FY17, with full operations and benefits realized within 4-5 months post-completion.
  • Strategic focus on backward integration, value-added products, and global market expansion accompanies capacity growth.

How does Nandan Denim Ltd rank vs peers in Textiles & Apparels?

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