NCC Ltd

Q1 FY26 Earnings Call Analysis

Construction

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: No informationmargin: Category 4orderbook: Yes
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- NCC Limited has not explicitly mentioned any current or future fundraising plans through debt or equity in the provided excerpts. - The company detailed its financing strategy, highlighting competitive interest rates (around 9%) for working capital and project financing. - They use various credit products like invoice discounting, trade financing, and commercial paper, but no new major debt raise was indicated. - Mention of loans for specific projects includes smart meter project loans of about INR1,100 crores from SBI, largely for SPVs. - The company plans capex of around INR500 crores in FY27, partly for coal mining equipment, funded through existing resources and operational cash flow. - Management emphasizes that they have sufficient working capital limits and have never crossed 80-90% utilization, suggesting no immediate financing needs. - Any significant change or clarity regarding fundraising will be communicated after the first quarter, based on market and operational conditions.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- FY27 Capex plan is INR500 crores. - Regular annual capex is around INR350-400 crores for equipment replacement and new formworks. - FY26 capex was INR912 crores, including INR320 crores for TBM (Tunnel Boring Machine) under capital work-in-progress. - INR310 crores invested in TBM for the GMLR project in Mumbai (total project value ~INR6,000 crores, execution over 5 years). - INR150-160 crores spent on machinery for new mining projects in FY26. - For FY27, INR100-150 crores expected for mining equipment acquisition (capital-intensive and phased approach). - Remaining INR350-400 crores for regular capex including refurbishment and replacement across projects. - Strategic investments include INR460 crores in smart meter SPVs (no pending investment). - Mining JV's capex expected to continue in line with equipment acquisition needs. Overall, the focus is on capacity building in mining and tunneling along with regular equipment maintenance.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- NCC Limited is currently not providing formal guidance for FY27 due to high uncertainties in the economic environment and market variables. - Management plans to revisit growth guidance after the first quarter of FY27, aiming for clearer visibility. - The order book is at a historic high of INR83,004 crores as of March 31, 2026, up from INR71,568 crores at the beginning of the year. - There is a strong project pipeline with prospective projects worth around INR2.5 lakh crores for bidding. - Execution in the first 45 days of FY27 has been normal without major constraints yet. - Management remains hopeful to maintain or improve revenue levels but is cautious due to unpredictable market conditions. - Stable performance expected in related coal mining JV, with output and profitability roughly maintained at FY25/FY26 levels. - Capex near INR500 crores planned to support ongoing and mining projects, contributing to capacity building.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- NCC Limited has not provided formal guidance for FY27 earnings, operating profits, or EPS due to multiple uncertainties impacting the business environment. - Management plans to revisit and possibly share updated guidance after the first quarter of FY27 once clarity improves. - Current margin levels (~8.3%) are maintained but could face pressure due to rising costs and pricing challenges. - The coal mining JV's revenue and profitability are expected to remain stable, similar to the last two fiscal years. - Order book is at a historic high, but growth visibility is constrained by factors like working capital pressures, commodity inflation, and payment cycles. - Management expects continued execution discipline and aims to sustain profitability margins but remains cautious about short-term outlook. - Long-term growth opportunities remain strong given a project pipeline of approx. INR 2.5 lakh crores and continued focus on strategic project bidding and execution. Overall, growth and profitability outlook remain cautious in the near term, with optimism for sustainable execution and margin management in the medium to long term.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Total order book as of March 31, 2026: INR 83,004 crores (up from INR 71,568 crores at beginning of the year). - Orders received in Q4 FY26: INR 9,573 crores. - Standalone order backlog: INR 72,259 crores. - Subsidiary order backlog: INR 10,745 crores. - Division-wise standalone order backlog: - Buildings: INR 22,740 crores - Transportation: INR 15,320 crores - Water & Railways: INR 10,400 crores - Electrical: INR 13,800 crores - Irrigation: INR 4,950 crores - Mining: INR 6,750 crores - JJM projects overall order book: INR 26,000 crores (INR 20,142 crores executed, INR 6,181 crores balance). - Execution progressing normally with no major client-related holdups; full clearance on orders for execution.