NCC Ltd
Q4 FY26 Earnings Call Analysis
Construction
fundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 4margin: Category 3orderbook: No
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- There is no explicit mention of any new fundraising through debt or equity in the transcript.
- The company’s existing debt level has increased to Rs. 2,415 crores as of Q3 FY25, partly due to delays in payments and increased unbilled revenue.
- Management expects debt levels to reduce in the near term, primarily through improved collections, especially in Q4.
- Regarding future debt targets, the management is currently unable to provide a specific estimate and is awaiting government payments to improve.
- No comments were made about any planned equity fundraising.
- Capital expenditure for regular projects is maintained within budget with no indication of capital-intensive projects that would require new fundraising at this time.
In summary, there is no disclosed ongoing or planned new fundraising through debt or equity; focus remains on optimizing existing resources and improving collections.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- CAPEX for the current financial year was budgeted at Rs. 250 crores for regular projects.
- As of December, Rs. 223 crores have been spent, with the remaining Rs. 25-27 crores expected to be utilized as per project requirements.
- No significant capital-intensive projects are planned in the near term; CAPEX will be incurred on an as-needed basis.
- Equity investments are fully received; loan amounts of about Rs. 374 crores are expected to be realized over the next couple of years.
- No new strategic capital investments have been specifically mentioned.
- The company plans to monitor opportunities and may invest based on project needs and government actions.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- FY25 revenue growth guidance revised downwards to around 5% due to slow execution and elongated billing/payment cycles, impacted mainly by general and state elections (Page 4, 7).
- In Q4 FY25, execution expected to be between Rs. 6,000 - 6,400 crores, similar or slightly lower year-on-year, indicating a flat or slight decline quarter-over-quarter (Page 19).
- For FY26, no formal guidance given yet; budget meetings scheduled in April-May to finalize numbers (Page 12, 15).
- Historically, the company has shown ~25% growth over the last 3 years; expect possible return to growth in FY26, though no definite numbers now (Page 7).
- Order inflow guidance for FY25 maintained at Rs. 20,000 - 22,000 crores with L1 orders of Rs. 8,000 - 10,000 crores expected to convert in Q4, supporting future revenue base (Page 9, 8).
- Improved ground-level execution and collection expected post-elections, potentially supporting improved revenue momentum going forward (Page 11, 15).
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Revenue growth guidance for FY25 has been revised downward to around 5% due to election-related execution slowdowns.
- EBITDA margin for FY25 is expected to be around 9.25%, with Q4 margin anticipated at about 9.5%, considered sustainable.
- For FY26, management has not provided specific guidance yet; budget meetings and project closures by March end will inform future estimates.
- Historically, the company has shown around 25% growth over the last three years; they remain optimistic about growth resuming post-election impact.
- EPS for Q3 FY25 stood at 8.70 with an expected increase to 10.10 by March.
- Management expects improved collections and execution post the government settling post-elections, which may positively affect earnings growth going forward.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- Current order book stands at Rs. 55,548 crore as of December 2024.
- Order book at beginning of the year was Rs. 57,536 crore.
- Orders received during 9 months FY25: Rs. 13,608 crore (Rs. 8,440 crore in Q3).
- Executed work in first 9 months: Rs. 15,590 crore.
- Prospective project pipeline is about Rs. 2.45 lakh crore across seven verticals and many states.
- L1 projects in pipeline valued roughly at Rs. 8,000-Rs. 10,000 crore expected to convert into LOAs in Q4 FY25.
- Order inflow guidance maintained at Rs. 20,000 to Rs. 22,000 crore for FY25.
- Order book by division:
- Buildings: Rs. 21,085 crore (~38%)
- Transportation: Rs. 10,800 crore (~19%)
- Electrical T&D: Rs. 10,633 crore (~19%)
- Water: Rs. 5,450 crore (~10%)
- Irrigation: Rs. 4,496 crore
