Nexus Select Trust
Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis
Realty
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 2orderbook: No information
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- Nexus Select Trust currently has a low Loan-to-Value (LTV) of around 15%, with an existing net debt of INR 3,500 crores.
- The REIT regulations allow them to raise debt up to 49% LTV, implying a potential war chest of approximately $1 billion for acquisitions.
- They are planning to maintain a stable LTV in the high 20s to around 30%, aligning with comparable REITs.
- The team continues discussions with developers for asset acquisition which may involve a combination of debt and equity (e.g., swapping shares for units).
- Recent debt raised is INR 22.5 billion (approx. $300 million) at an average cost of 8.2%, better than projections.
- No explicit mention of immediate equity fundraising; acquisitions likely to be funded through the trust’s balance sheet using the available credit headroom and potentially share swaps.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- Nexus Select Trust focuses on acquisitions of underinvested or undermanaged A-grade malls, with about 50-55 such malls available outside top developers’ portfolios for potential acquisition.
- They have a war chest of close to $1 billion for acquisitions, supported by a strong balance sheet and low LTV of around 15%.
- Capital investments focus on upgrading assets through better brand mix, asset improvements, and marketing activities to drive value creation and rental growth.
- They target assets where they have management control and can apply value-add strategies to increase NOI over a 2-3 year horizon.
- No specific numbers on new capex provided, but capital deployment is expected primarily via acquisitions on the Trust balance sheet.
- Ongoing asset repurposing includes replacing hypermarkets and department stores with growing categories like electronics, beauty, fitness, and entertainment to optimize space and increase revenues.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Consumption growth in Q1 FY24 was strong at 18% like-for-like, outperforming the broader market growth of 8-10%.
- Top-performing malls have consistently achieved around 18% consumption growth, with marquee assets like Select Citywalk seeing +27%.
- Rental growth is aligned with consumption growth; about 87% of revenue is fixed, and 13% variable, linked to sales, allowing upside with volume increases.
- The leasing market is robust with 21% re-leasing spreads, driving rental income growth.
- The Trust projects revenue from operations growth around 7-8% CAGR based on market sensitivities.
- Strategic focus on acquiring underinvested malls and adding value through brand mix and marketing supports long-term growth.
- Strong tenant relationships and active tenant sales tracking enable responsive management and sustainable revenue increases.
- Future distribution to investors will reflect growth, with quarterly payouts starting post Q2 FY24.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Consumption growth in Q1 FY24 was strong at 18% like-for-like versus a market growth of 8-10%, indicating outperformance.
- Top performing malls and cities (e.g., Mumbai, Bangalore) are showing 400-1000 bps higher consumption growth than their markets.
- NOI grew by 18% year-on-year, with NOI margin improving to 74%, up 360 bps, close to the targeted 75%.
- Re-leasing spreads stood at 21%, supporting rental growth alongside consumption gains.
- Management projects achieving FY24 earnings in line with projections disclosed in the Final Offer Document (FOD).
- Growth across metro and mini metro cities is balanced, with some smaller markets like Bhubaneswar and Mysuru performing well.
- Minimal cash is retained (2 months working capital), with up to 100% distributions planned, reflecting strong cash flow generation.
- A $1 billion acquisition war chest and active pipeline provide inorganic growth opportunities.
Overall, sustained like-for-like consumption growth, operational efficiency, and disciplined acquisitions support positive future earnings growth.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
The transcript from Nexus Select Trust's Q1 FY24 earnings call does not specifically mention details about "Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders." The focus is primarily on consumption growth, acquisition pipeline, rental growth, occupancy, supply-demand dynamics, and financial performance metrics.
Key related points include:
- Active M&A pipeline: Evaluating acquisition of about 50-60 A grade malls, focusing on core markets and assets where value can be added.
- Approximately 30 million square feet of attractive acquisition opportunities available outside developer/ operator-owned malls.
- Supply addition expected in A grade malls segment is about 3.5 to 4 million square feet annually.
- Demand side for retail space by brands estimated at 10 to 12 million square feet conservatively.
- Leasing activity strong with 0.4 million square feet leased in Q1 FY24 across 186 deals.
No explicit orderbook or pending order figures were shared.
