Nexus Select TrustQ3 FY24

Nexus Select Trust Q3 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: ₹163.85P/E: 56.1Market Cap: ₹24.7K CrSector: Realty

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Consumption growth is expected to normalize to high single-digit CAGR (around 9-10%) over the longer term.
  • Tenant sales growth in the nine months ended December 2023 was 14%, indicating strong resilience.
  • Footfall growth was 8% over the nine-month period, with trend per footfall also increasing, supporting sales growth.
  • South portfolio malls have shown 50% sales growth and 33% NOI growth post-acquisition, with room for continued growth over the next couple of years.
  • Leasing spreads achieved on new leases are around 20-26%, showing rent growth potential.
  • Growth prospects are supported by adding premium brands, improving tenant mix, and digital/omnichannel initiatives.
  • Some moderation seen in value and fashion segments, while premium categories (electronics, jewellery) continue to perform well.
  • Malls like Select City Delhi expect mid to high single-digit like-for-like rental growth, driving revenue growth further.

See what Nexus Select Trust management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.

Fundraise plans

Yes
  • As of February 06, 2024, the acquisition deal is not yet finalized; details on debt-equity mix for the planned acquisition remain unclear.
  • The company has a low Loan-to-Value (LTV) ratio of 14%, with a robust balance sheet and a war chest of close to $1 billion earmarked for acquisitions.
  • Recently refinanced debt amounting to INR 9.5 billion at a cost of 8.1%, leading to annual savings of INR 115 million.
  • In-place debt cost has been reduced by 10 basis points to 8.2%, maintaining a dual AAA stable credit rating with no near-term debt maturities.
  • No specific announcements of new fundraising through debt or equity at this time; acquisition funding is expected to be partly through debt for one-time capex related to refurbishment.

See what Nexus Select Trust management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Capital expenditure for refurbishing newly acquired malls is typically material and funded through debt.
  • Cap rates considered during acquisition include required upgrade capex, representing an all-inclusive valuation.
  • Investments have been made in upgrading assets including marketing, technology, and IT systems (e.g., over INR 100 crores invested in South India portfolio).
  • Ongoing ESG investments include a 3.3 MW wind power plant under construction for a Chennai mall, expected to meet 60% of its energy needs and deliver INR 60 million EBITDA savings annually with a 20% yield.
  • Technology initiatives like the Nexus One App are expanding to more malls by March 2024 to enhance tenant and customer engagement.
  • The company has a war chest of close to $1 billion available for acquisitions, indicating readiness for further strategic investments.

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