
Nexus Select Trust Q3 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis
Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.
Management growth scorecard
Revenue
Category 3
Margin
Category 3
Fundraise
Yes
Order
N/A
Capex
Yes
2 of 4 growth signals are positive.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
Category 3- Consumption growth is expected to normalize to high single-digit CAGR (around 9-10%) over the longer term.
- Tenant sales growth in the nine months ended December 2023 was 14%, indicating strong resilience.
- Footfall growth was 8% over the nine-month period, with trend per footfall also increasing, supporting sales growth.
- South portfolio malls have shown 50% sales growth and 33% NOI growth post-acquisition, with room for continued growth over the next couple of years.
- Leasing spreads achieved on new leases are around 20-26%, showing rent growth potential.
- Growth prospects are supported by adding premium brands, improving tenant mix, and digital/omnichannel initiatives.
- Some moderation seen in value and fashion segments, while premium categories (electronics, jewellery) continue to perform well.
- Malls like Select City Delhi expect mid to high single-digit like-for-like rental growth, driving revenue growth further.
See what Nexus Select Trust management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.
Fundraise plans
Yes- As of February 06, 2024, the acquisition deal is not yet finalized; details on debt-equity mix for the planned acquisition remain unclear.
- The company has a low Loan-to-Value (LTV) ratio of 14%, with a robust balance sheet and a war chest of close to $1 billion earmarked for acquisitions.
- Recently refinanced debt amounting to INR 9.5 billion at a cost of 8.1%, leading to annual savings of INR 115 million.
- In-place debt cost has been reduced by 10 basis points to 8.2%, maintaining a dual AAA stable credit rating with no near-term debt maturities.
- No specific announcements of new fundraising through debt or equity at this time; acquisition funding is expected to be partly through debt for one-time capex related to refurbishment.
See what Nexus Select Trust management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.
Capex plans
Yes- Capital expenditure for refurbishing newly acquired malls is typically material and funded through debt.
- Cap rates considered during acquisition include required upgrade capex, representing an all-inclusive valuation.
- Investments have been made in upgrading assets including marketing, technology, and IT systems (e.g., over INR 100 crores invested in South India portfolio).
- Ongoing ESG investments include a 3.3 MW wind power plant under construction for a Chennai mall, expected to meet 60% of its energy needs and deliver INR 60 million EBITDA savings annually with a 20% yield.
- Technology initiatives like the Nexus One App are expanding to more malls by March 2024 to enhance tenant and customer engagement.
- The company has a war chest of close to $1 billion available for acquisitions, indicating readiness for further strategic investments.
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