Nitin Spinners Ltd

Q3 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Textiles & Apparels

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: No information
💰

fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- There is no explicit mention of any current or future fundraising through debt or equity in the call transcript. - The company has recently completed significant CAPEX of about Rs. 955 crores, with Rs. 790 crores already capitalized and Rs. 165 crores left. - The company is focusing on consolidating its new capacities and improving utilization before considering further capacity additions. - Debt repayment schedule mentions long-term debt maturity of about Rs. 145 crores in FY25 and Rs. 115 crores repayment in the current year. - Interest cost is expected around Rs. 25 crores per quarter post expansion, and there are interest subsidies from the government. - No mention of new fundraising plans; focus is on operational consolidation and capacity ramp-up.
🏗️

capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Total CAPEX planned around Rs. 860-955 crores, mostly commissioned except Rs. 165 crores remaining. - Remaining CAPEX relates to ring spinning expansion at Begun plant (32,640 spindles) with machinery arrived; commissioning expected within November 2023. - Capacity expansion aims to increase yarn production to over 1 lakh tons annually (currently ramping up to 24,000-25,000 tons quarterly). - The company plans to consolidate and fully utilize the expanded capacities before considering further additions. - Future capacity additions likely focusing on fabric division, which is growing faster and expected to form ~30% of total business. - Exploring new product offerings, including blended yarns (polyester viscose, modal, recycled fibers). - Open to adding capacity aligned with market demand and government policies (e.g., new FTAs).
📊

revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- The company targets yarn production to exceed 1 lakh tons per annum, aiming for ~24,000 tons in the current quarter and crossing 25,000 tons in the next quarter as capacity ramps up. - Fabric business is growing rapidly and expected to reach over Rs. 600 crores by year-end, aiming to constitute at least 30% of total business in coming years. - Additional capacity from recent CAPEX (~Rs. 955 crores) is expected to generate incremental turnover of Rs. 1,200 to 1,300 crores at current price levels. - Export demand has normalized with volumes recovering to over 115 million kg per month and aims to sustain above 125-130 million kg for several months to see further growth. - Post-FY26 growth focus will be on consolidating expanded capacity, improving cost efficiency, enhancing value-added products, and potentially adding fabric capacities based on market dynamics. - Overall, revenue growth is expected in the second half FY24 due to capacity expansion and improving demand.
📈

margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Company targets production of over 1 lakh tons of yarn going forward, expecting 24,000 tons in Q3 FY24 and 25,000+ tons in Q4 FY24 as capacity ramps up. - Revenue growth expected due to expanded capacities kicking in; Q2 FY24 revenue up 19.5% QoQ and 45.8% YoY. - EBITDA margins currently subdued (~11-12%), expected to improve once cotton prices stabilize and demand picks up. - Long-term margin target around 16% based on historical averages. - Profit after tax for H1 FY24 is Rs. 60 crores vs Rs. 94 crores last year; improving trend expected as utilization and efficiencies increase. - EPS for Q2 FY24 at Rs. 5.64; cash EPS at Rs. 9.98; half year EPS Rs. 10.7. - Focus on growing fabric business to 30% of total revenue, which should improve margin and ROCE profile. - Interest costs expected around Rs. 25 crores per quarter post-expansion; subsidies to reduce net interest cost. - Management cautious but optimistic about demand and export recovery, especially post capacity consolidation.
📋

orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

The transcript does not explicitly mention the current or expected order book or pending orders for Nitin Spinners Limited. However, relevant information indicating demand and production outlook includes: - Production in Q3 (December quarter) is expected to reach around 24,000 tons of yarn with a target to cross 25,000 tons as capacity ramps up. - Yarn demand is strong enough to sell additional produced volumes. - Exports have recovered to around 115 million kg per month from a low of 40 million kg in early 2023 indicating improving demand. - Capacity utilization is near optimal levels, with expanded capacity expected to increase turnover by Rs. 1,200 to 1,300 crores. - Demand stabilizations and order flow are seen improving, but precise order book numbers were not disclosed. Hence, while no direct order book value is shared, the company projects improving demand and production with strong sales visibility.