NLC India Ltd
Q3 FY22 Earnings Call Analysis
Power
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: No information
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- NLC India Limited is undertaking significant CapEx plans totaling around INR 72,000 crore plus over the next eight years, with targets of INR 8,244 crore for FY 2023-24.
- The company has revised its corporate plan to avoid seeking any financial assistance in terms of equity.
- It is focused on internal generation of funds and improving revenues through commissioned projects like Ghatampur (1,980 MW) and NNTPP.
- Rakesh Kumar confirmed there is no plan to raise equity in the near term to finance expansions due to consolidated net worth and improved cash flows.
- No explicit mention was made about new debt fundraising, but ongoing large CapEx projects and joint ventures indicate possible continued debt utilization or structured financing.
- The company aims to balance shareholder dividends with growth capital requirements without adverse impact.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- Total CapEx target up to 2030: INR 72,000 crore plus, with INR 8,244 crore planned for FY23-24, likely increasing thereafter.
- FY22-23 CapEx target: INR 2,920 crore split as follows:
- Mining projects: INR 190 crore (including Talabira mine 2 & 3, area extension, South Pachwara mine JV).
- Power sector: INR 860 crore (including NNTPS, NUPPL, Odisha thermal plant).
- Joint ventures: INR 1,770 crore (Pachwara INR 110 crore, NTPL FGD INR 250 crore, NUPPL Ghatampur INR 1,510 crore).
- Coal gasification project approved by board with a cost of Rs. 4,394 crore; EPC tender initiated.
- Talabira coal power plant and Neyveli 1320 MW power plant tenders progressing; award targeted by current financial year.
- Ghatampur project (1,980 MW) progressing, expected to commission within a year.
- Corporate plan revised to avoid equity infusion; growth to be funded internally without affecting dividend policy.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- NLC India Limited targets significant capacity expansion, with total CapEx planned at over INR 72,000 crore up to 2030 to drive growth.
- FY 2023-24 CapEx target is INR 8,244 crore, expected to increase in subsequent years, supporting higher production and sales.
- Coal production target for current year is 13 million tons, nearly doubling previous year's 6.35 million tons.
- Coal supply prioritized to internal plants (NTPL) and NTPC under MOUs, with surplus coal to be auctioned, reflecting strong demand.
- Renewable energy capacity completed 1,421 MW with an equity investment of INR 1,675 crore; no current solar projects under construction but planned expansions implied.
- Power generation and exports show modest growth; coal production and sales increasingly contributing to revenue.
- Emphasis on augmenting lignite and coal supplies in demand-constrained regions like Rajasthan to meet customer needs and improve realizations.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- NLCIL's profit after tax for H1 FY23 rose by 77.76% to Rs. 985.86 crore compared to previous year.
- Coal mining profits significantly increased (Rs. 819.36 crore in H1 FY23 vs Rs. 377.24 crore last year).
- Expansion projects like Ghatampur (1,980 MW) nearing commissioning, expected to boost revenue and profits.
- NTPL power plant started contributing to revenue, enhancing earnings.
- CapEx plan of Rs. 72,000+ crore till 2030 to drive growth; FY24 CapEx target is Rs. 8,244 crore.
- Improving coal production and sales (target 13 million tons FY23) support operating income.
- Dividend payout expected to be maintained alongside growth plans, indicating confidence in earnings growth.
- Reduction in under-recovery in thermal segment, and mitigation of surcharge risks improve profitability.
- Strong operational performance with increasing PLF (up to 92.27% in NNTPP) enhances operating income.
Overall, NLCIL expects steady growth in earnings driven by capacity additions, improved coal production, and efficient operations.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- The Talabira coal power plant tender for 3x800 MW is under techno-commercial bid evaluation, with L&T and BHEL as bidders. The process is progressing with finalization expected soon. (Page 6)
- The estimated cost for the Talabira project is Rs. 19,422 crore, combining three major packages into a single package for bidding. (Page 6)
- For the Neyveli 1320 MW power plant, discussions on land acquisition and Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) progress well; PPA signed for 400 MW with KSEB, completing 2,000 MW out of 2,400 MW capacity with other PPAs already signed. (Page 6)
- GA4 package in Ghatampur valued at Rs. 979.61 crore was awarded on 30th September to expedite project completion. (Page 4)
- Overall, large projects are moving forward with ongoing evaluations and contract awards, but some technical issues remain under resolution. (Pages 4-6)
