Orient Green Power Company LtdQ3 FY19
Orient Green Power Company Ltd Q3 FY19 Earnings Call Analysis
Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.
Price: ₹10.8P/E: 22.3Market Cap: ₹1.3K CrSector: Power
Management growth scorecard
Revenue
Category 4
Margin
Category 3
Fundraise
Yes
Order
N/A
Capex
N/A
1 of 3 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
Category 4- →The company expects improved demand and pricing momentum, especially in Q3 and Q4, driven by obligated entities fulfilling Renewable Energy Certificate (REC) obligations.
- →REC trading is strong with prices currently trading at a premium (weighted average Rs.1,547 vs Rs.1,102 last year), contributing positively to revenue.
- →Despite a subdued wind year causing some revenue loss (~Rs. 13 crore), tariff increases and REC premiums have compensated.
- →Structural industry corrections, including addressing delayed payments by discoms, are underway, which once resolved, will enhance cash flows and facilitate lower-cost fund raising.
- →The company is confident about long-term industry prospects and expects situations to improve with government support and strategic initiatives.
- →No direct numeric growth guidance was provided, but the outlook is cautiously optimistic with expectation of better performance as sector challenges get resolved.
Margin guidance
Category 3- →Business is expected to be cash flow positive even in bad wind years; current challenges are timing mismatches in collections from discoms, not operational losses.
- →Structural corrections in the industry (e.g., enforced payments by discoms, mandated LCs for wind/solar evacuation) are underway and expected to improve cash flows and reduce financial stress.
- →REC trading at higher premiums has added to revenue, offsetting losses in wind generation and improving profitability.
- →Debt refinancing discussions are ongoing to reduce interest costs by approximately 200-250 basis points, enhancing profitability.
- →Capital reduction (face value from Rs.10 to Rs.5) aims to attract more investors by reflecting a true financial position and improving share price realism.
- →Despite recent subdued wind season, combination of tariff adjustments, REC premiums, and cost controls are expected to sustain or improve EBITDA and profits.
- →Overall, management confident that long-term fundamentals and government support will drive better earnings and value creation.
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Fundraise plans
Yes- →The company is in discussions with banks for refinancing existing debt to lower interest rates by approximately 200 to 250 basis points in the coming years.
- →There is confidence that once payment issues with discoms are resolved, the company will be able to raise funds at much lower interest costs.
- →No specific new equity fundraising is mentioned, but the company is looking at capital reduction (face value from Rs.10 to Rs.5) to attract more investors.
- →Management acknowledges current selling pressure on shares and expects improved share price post-capital reduction, which may help attract investment.
- →No concrete timeline or confirmed plans for new equity or debt fundraising beyond refinancing and capital restructuring were detailed.
Order book
The transcript does not explicitly mention any details about the current, expected order book, or pending orders for Orient Green Power Company Limited. The discussion primarily focuses on:
- Challenges in the renewable energy sector, including tariff issues and delays in payments by discoms.
- Structural corrections needed in the industry.
- Financial performance, share price concerns, and plans for capital reduction.
- Discussions about overcoming cash flow mismatches due to delayed payments.
- No specific data or commentary on order book or new/pending orders is provided in the transcript.
Hence, there is no direct information available on the current or expected order book or pending orders in the provided document.
Capex plans
- →No specific mention of current or future capex or strategic capital investments in the transcript.
- →The company is focusing on restructuring and financial improvements such as equity reduction (face value reduction from Rs.10 to Rs.5).
- →Strategic initiatives include divesting the biomass segment, unblocking dues, improving asset utilization, and securing must-run status to improve working capital.
- →The company is actively engaged in refinancing debt to reduce interest rates by 200-250 basis points.
- →Emphasis is on resolving structural industry issues, improving cash flow, and leveraging government support rather than immediately committing to new capital expenditure.
- →Strategic outlook is to strengthen operations and create shareholder value through improving financial health and operational efficiency rather than announcing new capex at this time.
How does Orient Green Power Company Ltd rank vs peers in Power?
Pro feature1Orient Green Power Company Ltd
Rev 4Mar 3
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