Orient Green Power Company Ltd

Q2 FY19 Earnings Call Analysis

Power

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: Yescapex: No informationrevenue: Category 4margin: Category 3orderbook: No information
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- The transcript does not explicitly mention a current or expected order book or pending orders for Orient Green Power Company Limited. - It discusses challenges in the renewable energy sector such as subdued installations, delays in land allocation, grid connectivity, and financial closures impacting project completions. - There is a mention of ongoing discussions for strategic tie-ups and potential transactions, but no confirmed pending orders. - The company is focusing on refinancing and completing the sale of biomass assets. - They are hopeful of improvement with government initiatives and expect some announcements or resolutions in the next 3-6 months. - Competitive bidding has affected tariff realizations, and the government is moving away from extremely low bids. - Overall, no specific order book figures or pending orders are reported in the transcript.
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- The company is in discussions with various banks for refinancing its Beta loan portfolio of over Rs. 900 crore to achieve lower interest rates and extended tenure. - Due to delayed payments from Andhra Pradesh, banks are hesitant, causing challenges in securing refinancing or bridge loans without security. - Once the Andhra Pradesh payment situation improves, the company expects banks to be enthusiastic about refinancing. - There is no mention of any immediate new equity fundraising. - The company is focusing on reducing debt consistently and improving liquidity through receivables and asset sales. - They are open to various strategic options, including complete buyout or mergers, but no firm equity fundraising plans have been announced yet. - Continued waiver of promoter loan interest shows focus on managing existing financial obligations rather than raising fresh funds currently.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Advances of Rs. 110 crore were given in 2016 for the Phase III project in Andhra Pradesh Beta Wind Farm; this capital is currently stuck with the group company and decisions regarding this will be taken between Q2 and Q3 to minimize impact on the company. - The company is exploring options including potential sale of the Andhra project due to delays and policy uncertainties. - Strategic initiatives including restructuring, complete buyout, or reverse merger are being actively pursued. Talks are ongoing with three to four interested groups despite delays caused by sector uncertainties. - Biomass business is being hived off and assets are being sold; process expected to complete within six months. - Efforts toward refinancing existing debt (Rs. 900 crore Beta loan portfolio) and securing bridge loans are ongoing but delayed due to payment issues with Andhra Pradesh utilities. - The company aims to focus solely on wind business going forward and is hopeful of improvements within the next couple of years.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- The company expects improved performance and better returns in the next couple of years, focusing solely on wind power after hiving off biomass units. - Q2 FY2020 revenue is anticipated to be better than Q1, contingent on favorable wind conditions. - Wind season started late in Q1 FY2020 due to a cyclone but improved thereafter, with hopes to beat last year’s generation. - Government targets for renewable energy capacity (175 GW by 2022) suggest long-term growth potential for the sector. - Competitive bidding challenges and tariff renegotiations have created near-term uncertainty, but the government is taking steps to make tariffs more sustainable. - The company is hopeful that ongoing government initiatives and improved macro environment will support steady performance and value creation. - Delays in payments and projects, especially in Andhra Pradesh, remain short-term setbacks but are expected to resolve soon, enabling revenue normalization.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- The company is hopeful for improved returns and steady performance in the renewable energy sector over the next couple of years (Page 13). - Management is confident about better times ahead despite past setbacks, expecting resolution of issues like the Andhra Pradesh payment delays soon (Page 14). - No specific speculative timelines are given, but optimism exists for earnings improvement possibly earlier than two years (Page 13). - Q2 is expected to perform better than Q1 due to improved wind conditions, with hopes to beat last year's generation (Page 10). - The company aims to reduce interest costs through refinancing and improving operational efficiencies, which could enhance margins (Pages 3-5). - Strategic efforts to focus solely on wind energy and divest biomass assets are intended to strengthen the financial profile and support growth (Pages 5, 14). - Overall, the outlook is cautiously optimistic with the government’s support towards renewable targets of 175 GW by 2022 fostering long-term growth potential (Page 14).