Orient Green Power Company LtdQ3 FY20

Orient Green Power Company Ltd Q3 FY20 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: ₹8.34P/E: 18.3Market Cap: ₹978 CrSector: Power

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 4

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

No

Order

N/A

Capex

N/A

0 of 3 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 4
  • The company reported a positive PBT of Rs. 3.7 crore for the 9 months ended December 2019, despite a subdued wind season.
  • There is optimism for FY21 assuming an average or good wind season which could add 5-6 crore units, translating to an additional Rs. 4.5 to Rs. 5 per unit, improving profitability.
  • Renewable energy obligations (RPO) are increasing year-on-year by 50 to 100 basis points, sustaining demand for RECs which support revenue.
  • The government is taking serious measures to resolve payment delays by discoms, which if resolved, would improve cash flow and support refinancing and interest cost reductions.
  • Competitive bidding caps have previously deterred new bids, but policy adjustments and government announcements may revive interest and growth in the renewable sector.
  • Overall market demand is expected to improve with government focus on increasing renewable energy share to 23-25% in the next 3-4 years.

See what Orient Green Power Company Ltd management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.

Fundraise plans

No
  • There are ongoing discussions with bankers for refinancing to reduce interest costs.
  • Refinancing depends on regularization of payments from discoms, especially Andhra Pradesh.
  • Interest reduction of about Rs. 25 to 30 crore is anticipated over one or two quarters if refinancing is successful.
  • The group loan of Rs. 444 crore remains on the books with interest waived by the group; no immediate repayment plans.
  • Management indicated no immediate plans for converting promoter debt into equity due to current market conditions but may consider it in the future subject to regulations.
  • No explicit mention of new equity fundraising; focus is on managing existing debt and improving cash flow.
  • Government support and better discom payments are critical for improving refinancing and funding options going forward.

See what Orient Green Power Company Ltd management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.

Capex plans

  • The transcript does not explicitly mention any current or future capex or strategic capital investments planned by Orient Green Power.
  • The company is focused on exiting loss-making biomass operations and reducing debt rather than new capital expenditure.
  • Management discusses efforts on refinancing debt and interest cost reduction, but no specific new projects or investments are highlighted.
  • The emphasis is on navigating current operational challenges, regulatory environment improvements, and awaiting supportive government measures for the renewable energy sector.
  • Positive outlook is expressed towards sector recovery and increasing renewable energy targets, but specific capex plans remain unmentioned in the call.

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