Orient Green Power Company LtdQ4 FY20

Orient Green Power Company Ltd Q4 FY20 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: ₹8.34P/E: 18.3Market Cap: ₹978 CrSector: Power

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 4

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 4
- The company experienced a 15% increase in total income for FY20 compared to the prior year, indicating positive growth momentum. - Despite a soft start to the wind season affecting revenues, the outlook supports a potential good wind year ahead, which could drive higher volumes. - REC (Renewable Energy Certificate) trading is expected to grow, with at least 3 lakh RECs targeted for sale annually, adding to revenue. - Management remains cautiously optimistic for sustained profitability despite challenges like COVID-19 and regulatory hurdles. - EBITDA potential is estimated between Rs. 250 to 300 crore, reflecting stable operational cash flow prospects. - Repowering of wind assets planned within 3-4 years aims to enhance capacity and output, supporting future volume growth. - The company is exploring strategic options, including possible mergers, which could accelerate growth. Overall, the company is hopeful of strengthening revenues and volumes in the coming years backed by wind season recovery, REC sales, and asset repowering.

See what Orient Green Power Company Ltd management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.

Fundraise plans

Yes
  • The promoter group is committed to supporting the company’s growth and is open to infusing funds, which would help reduce interest costs by 250 to 300 basis points, improving bottom-line by about Rs. 25 to 30 crore.
  • Discussions with various investors have been ongoing, but many are in a wait-and-watch mode due to sector challenges like low tariffs and project setbacks.
  • Loan-to-equity conversion by promoters is being considered, though it has challenges such as breaching the 75% limit, with proposals at various stages.
  • Efforts are underway to reduce interest costs and extend loan terms, with active talks with banks to lower rates in the next few years.
  • No specific finalized new fundraising announced yet; options including mergers and investor engagement continue to be explored.

See what Orient Green Power Company Ltd management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Promoters are committed to future growth and have waived interest on promoter loans worth Rs. 30-35 crore over the last two years to support the company.
  • The company is exploring various proposals, including converting loans to equity, although this has challenges such as breaching the 75% ownership threshold.
  • There is ongoing discussion with various investors to infuse funds, which could help reduce interest costs by 250-300 basis points, adding Rs. 25-30 crore to the bottom line.
  • Plans include repowering wind assets, particularly 50-60 MW requiring replacement in the next few years, awaiting a clear government policy to proceed.
  • The company continues to explore strategic options such as potential mergers (e.g., with ORIX) but discussions are at preliminary stages.
  • Land parcels from stalled projects (e.g., Andhra Pradesh) can be monetized or utilized in future.

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How does Orient Green Power Company Ltd rank vs peers in Power?

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