Ortel Commu.

Q4 FY18 Earnings Call Analysis

Entertainment

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: No information
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- The company aims to reach 1 million subscribers in FY18, with approximately 900,000 TV and 100,000 broadband subscribers, expecting marginal ARPU increases. - Operating leverage is expected mainly from cost efficiencies in content and bandwidth costs; bandwidth costs increase proportionally with subscribers, programming costs semi-proportionally, others mostly inflationary. - Broadband growth faced temporary challenges due to competition and demonetization but returned to positive growth from January, expected to continue. - The company plans to focus on improving bad debts and receivables, aiming for better collections with full digitization. - EBITDA margins are stable; cost per subscriber has been reduced substantially. - No explicit earnings or EPS guidance provided, but operational efficiencies and subscriber growth are expected to drive future profitability.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- The management has not provided an exact current orderbook or pending orders number yet. - Bibhu Prasad Rath mentioned that he will plan the next phase and get back later with the exact number regarding how much of the plan is yet to be executed. - The focus is on reaching 1 million subscribers during FY18, with around 900,000 TV and 100,000 broadband subscribers. - CAPEX guidance related to advancing from 0.5 million to 1 million subscribers and completing full digitization is Rs. 300 crore, which is still underway with remaining spend expected over the next few quarters.
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- The company has not completed earlier debt funding, which has slowed subscriber acquisitions recently. - Bibhu Prasad Rath mentioned waiting for closure of debt funding to resume subscriber growth to previous levels. - There is no explicit mention of new fundraising plans through debt or equity in the provided transcript. - CAPEX guidance remains at Rs. 300 crore for going from 0.5 million to 1 million subscribers including digitization, with some spending likely to spill over to next fiscal year due to pending tie-ups. - No direct comment on raising fresh equity or debt beyond the current funding and CAPEX plan was noted.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- CAPEX guidance remains around Rs. 300 crore for the next phase of growth, aimed at increasing subscribers from 0.5 million to 1 million and completing full digitization. - The Rs. 300 crore CAPEX is planned over two years (last year and current year), but some spending may spill over to the next fiscal year due to pending tie-ups. - Current CAPEX includes network expansions, digital infrastructure upgrades, and related capital work in progress. - Broadband CAPEX involves Rs. 800 per home passed (Rs. 1,600 for combined TV+broadband) plus modem subsidies around Rs. 1,000 per subscriber. - Operating leverage expected due to stable programming and content costs; bandwidth costs will increase proportionally with subscriber growth. - The company is focusing on operational efficiencies while the growth execution plan progresses, with some CAPEX incomplete yet.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Target to reach 1 million subscribers during FY18, comprising around 900,000 TV and 100,000 broadband customers. - ARPU (Average Revenue Per User) expected to marginally increase for both TV and broadband segments. - Operating leverage benefits anticipated primarily from controlled content and bandwidth costs. - Broadband growth faced pressure in Q3 due to competition (notably Reliance Jio) and demonetization but has normalized with positive growth from January onwards. - Company aims to regain earlier quarterly subscriber addition levels (~50,000 to 75,000) in upcoming quarters once funding bottlenecks are resolved. - Focus on improving operational efficiencies, particularly reducing bad debts and content cost per subscriber, to support sustainable growth. - Broadband penetration in mature markets around 20%, with potential to increase aided by greater consumer awareness and competitive positioning. - Overall, cautious but positive outlook with a focus on stabilizing growth and leveraging operational improvements.