Ortel Commu.
Q4 FY18 Earnings Call Analysis
Entertainment
fundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: No information
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- The company aims to reach 1 million subscribers in FY18, with approximately 900,000 TV and 100,000 broadband subscribers, expecting marginal ARPU increases.
- Operating leverage is expected mainly from cost efficiencies in content and bandwidth costs; bandwidth costs increase proportionally with subscribers, programming costs semi-proportionally, others mostly inflationary.
- Broadband growth faced temporary challenges due to competition and demonetization but returned to positive growth from January, expected to continue.
- The company plans to focus on improving bad debts and receivables, aiming for better collections with full digitization.
- EBITDA margins are stable; cost per subscriber has been reduced substantially.
- No explicit earnings or EPS guidance provided, but operational efficiencies and subscriber growth are expected to drive future profitability.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- The management has not provided an exact current orderbook or pending orders number yet.
- Bibhu Prasad Rath mentioned that he will plan the next phase and get back later with the exact number regarding how much of the plan is yet to be executed.
- The focus is on reaching 1 million subscribers during FY18, with around 900,000 TV and 100,000 broadband subscribers.
- CAPEX guidance related to advancing from 0.5 million to 1 million subscribers and completing full digitization is Rs. 300 crore, which is still underway with remaining spend expected over the next few quarters.
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- The company has not completed earlier debt funding, which has slowed subscriber acquisitions recently.
- Bibhu Prasad Rath mentioned waiting for closure of debt funding to resume subscriber growth to previous levels.
- There is no explicit mention of new fundraising plans through debt or equity in the provided transcript.
- CAPEX guidance remains at Rs. 300 crore for going from 0.5 million to 1 million subscribers including digitization, with some spending likely to spill over to next fiscal year due to pending tie-ups.
- No direct comment on raising fresh equity or debt beyond the current funding and CAPEX plan was noted.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- CAPEX guidance remains around Rs. 300 crore for the next phase of growth, aimed at increasing subscribers from 0.5 million to 1 million and completing full digitization.
- The Rs. 300 crore CAPEX is planned over two years (last year and current year), but some spending may spill over to the next fiscal year due to pending tie-ups.
- Current CAPEX includes network expansions, digital infrastructure upgrades, and related capital work in progress.
- Broadband CAPEX involves Rs. 800 per home passed (Rs. 1,600 for combined TV+broadband) plus modem subsidies around Rs. 1,000 per subscriber.
- Operating leverage expected due to stable programming and content costs; bandwidth costs will increase proportionally with subscriber growth.
- The company is focusing on operational efficiencies while the growth execution plan progresses, with some CAPEX incomplete yet.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Target to reach 1 million subscribers during FY18, comprising around 900,000 TV and 100,000 broadband customers.
- ARPU (Average Revenue Per User) expected to marginally increase for both TV and broadband segments.
- Operating leverage benefits anticipated primarily from controlled content and bandwidth costs.
- Broadband growth faced pressure in Q3 due to competition (notably Reliance Jio) and demonetization but has normalized with positive growth from January onwards.
- Company aims to regain earlier quarterly subscriber addition levels (~50,000 to 75,000) in upcoming quarters once funding bottlenecks are resolved.
- Focus on improving operational efficiencies, particularly reducing bad debts and content cost per subscriber, to support sustainable growth.
- Broadband penetration in mature markets around 20%, with potential to increase aided by greater consumer awareness and competitive positioning.
- Overall, cautious but positive outlook with a focus on stabilizing growth and leveraging operational improvements.
