Pakka

Q3 FY20 Earnings Call Analysis

Paper, Forest & Jute Products

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 1margin: Category 3orderbook: No information
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- Promoters have pledged shares to secure loans for company expansion; no personal fund withdrawals involved. - Loans with pledged shares are for scaling the company from Rs.30 Crores to Rs.200 Crores level. - Efforts are underway to unpledge promoters' shares; target is to release pledged shares in the coming year, depending on bank support and facility renewals. - Debt is being taken primarily to fund a total capex of around Rs.150 Crores planned over 12 months (Dec 2020 to Oct/Nov 2021). - This capex supports growth plans targeting Rs.500 Crores revenue in 2022 and further expansion by 2025. - No explicit mention of current/future equity fundraising in the transcript. - The company is focusing on careful debt structuring to fund capacity expansions and new projects.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Ongoing and planned capex tie-ups amount to Rs.150 Crores, targeted to be deployed within 12 months from December 2020 to October/November 2021. - Capex aims to increase production capacity by approximately 25% on the paper side and about 35% on the moulded products side. - The investment on the paper side (approx Rs.35-40 Crores) will also focus on improving product quality for better market positioning. - Capacity addition for moulded products expected to come into force from early 2021. - Flexible packaging is in the pilot development stage; commercial production targeted around 2023 with investments conceptualized in 2022. - Future major investments planned around 2023 to reap benefits in 2024-2025 aligning with audacious growth targets. - Capex seeks to support revenue growth targets of Rs.500 Crores in 2022 and Rs.1360 Crores by 2025. - Promoters have pledged shares as collateral to secure loans for expansion and capex.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Target revenue of Rs.500 Crores by FY2022, up from Rs.261 Crores in FY2020, implying nearly doubling sales. - Conservative estimates are avoided; the company is focused on aggressive growth plans. - Capex planned around Rs.150 Crores between Dec 2020 and late 2021 to support growth. - Expansion in three divisions: paper bags (capacity +25%, better quality), moulded products (capacity +35%), and compostable marketing. - Aim to optimize capacity utilization in moulded products from ~54% to 60%-70%. - Longer-term vision targets Rs.1360 Crores sales by 2025. - Growth driven by new product development (including flexible packaging by 2023), capacity additions, and market expansion domestically and internationally. - ROC expected to be maintained above 20%. - Company acknowledges uncertainties (e.g. COVID) but committed to best efforts for achieving targets.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Yash Pakka aims for significant growth with a target revenue of Rs. 500 Crores by FY2022 and Rs. 1360 Crores by 2025, highlighting an aggressive expansion plan. - Capex of about Rs.150 Crores is planned over 12 months starting December 2020, focused on increasing capacity by 25-35% in paper and moulded products segments. - The company plans to maintain Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) above 20%. - Growth strategy involves strengthening pulp & paper, moulded products, and launching flexible packaging. - Productivity improvements in moulded products have improved profitability and reduced losses. - Management acknowledges challenges due to COVID-19 but is confident in achieving audacious targets through focused effort. - EBITDA margins have remained strong around 23-24%, with expectations to regain momentum post-pandemic. - Emphasis on innovation and expanding market presence to drive earnings growth.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- The transcript does not explicitly state the current or expected order book or pending orders value in precise terms. - Ved Krishna mentions ongoing efforts to enhance capacity utilization in the moulded products division, indicating plans to optimize and increase sales. - There is a focus on ramping up capacity in paper and moulded product segments, with capex plans of about Rs.150 Crores aimed at achieving Rs.500 Crores sales target for FY2022. - The company is working on expanding capacity by about 25% in paper and 35% in moulded products to meet increased demand. - Challenges due to COVID have affected sales momentum but efforts continue for sales ramp-up. - The presentation and call emphasize confidence in future growth with ongoing tie-ups and pipelines in progress, but no specific order book value is provided.