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Popular Vehicles & Services LtdQ3 FY25

Popular Vehicles & Services Ltd Q3 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 95.3Market Cap: ₹722 CrSector: Automobiles

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 2

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • FY '26 passenger car business organic volume growth expected around 6%, with an additional 6-7% growth from inorganic additions (~2,500 vehicles), totaling double-digit growth in volumes.
  • FY '27 anticipated to maintain double-digit growth, driven by increased inquiries and demand in small car segments.
  • Service volume growth forecasted at 2-3% organically in FY '26; acquisitions expected to add around 4% growth.
  • EBITDA margin targeted to improve to about 4.2%-4.3% in FY '26 and around 5% in FY '27.
  • Demand recovery expected in H2 FY '26 with a strong Q3; October and November showing robust growth (up to 45-50% YoY in some regions).
  • Discount levels and gross margins expected to normalize as supply tightens and higher demand sustains.
  • Expansion through acquisitions and network growth continues, including a digital e-commerce platform for spare parts aiming for stable, recurring revenue less cyclical than vehicle sales.

Margin guidance

Category 2
  • FY '26 passenger car business organic volume growth expected at ~6%, with additional 6-7% from inorganic growth through acquisitions, targeting double-digit volume growth.
  • FY '27 expected to maintain double-digit volume growth, especially driven by the small car segment recovery.
  • EBITDA margins targeted to improve from current ~3.5% to about 4.2%-4.3% in FY '26 (excluding inorganic part), with a longer-term target of 5% in the next fiscal year.
  • PAT (Profit After Tax) loss of INR 8.2 crores in H1 FY '26; management aims to reach or exceed FY '24 PAT levels (~INR 70-80 crores) by FY '27.
  • Acquisitions currently in ramp-up or breakeven stage; expected to contribute positively from next fiscal year onward.
  • Operational efficiencies (like reduced discounts and inventory) and growth in service business expected to support margin expansion and profit recovery.

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Fundraise plans

  • There is no explicit mention of any current or planned fundraising through debt or equity during the call.
  • For acquisitions (such as the Telangana and Punjab acquisitions), no clear indication of new debt being taken was provided; the management offered to share details upon request.
  • Management highlighted a focus on reducing debt; FY '26 closing debt is expected to be lower than FY '25.
  • No announcements regarding equity fundraising were made.
  • The company is focused on organic growth and strategic acquisitions funded within existing resources.
  • They have taken provisions and managed working capital to control costs and reduce interest expenses.
  • Overall, the tone suggests no immediate plans for debt or equity fundraising but a commitment to prudent financial management.

Order book

Yes
  • As of November 2025, certain models like Fronx and Baleno Sigma are experiencing a waiting period of around 4 weeks due to supply constraints.
  • Stock levels have come down significantly from over 75-80 days in H2 of last year to about 34 days by October 2025.
  • Demand has picked up strongly with October retail growing close to 37-38%, and bookings growing around 50%.
  • Market regions such as Kerala, Chennai, and Bangalore have shown strong volume growths (36%, 54%, and 77% respectively).
  • With demand exceeding supply, discounts have reduced from INR12,000 to INR6,000 in October, indicating a tightening order book.
  • The company anticipates further reduction in discounts and sustained demand leading into FY '27, suggesting a healthy order pipeline.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Popular Vehicles and Services Limited is evaluating opportunities to add another luxury dealership brand, supported by a proposed new step-down subsidiary under Popular Mega Motors India Limited.
  • The company has incorporated a new step-down subsidiary under Popular Mega Motors for developing an e-commerce platform for spare parts and accessories, targeting a high-volume, high-margin segment with increasing digital customer purchasing.
  • Plans include leveraging the multi-brand portfolio (Maruti Suzuki, Tata Motors, BharatBenz, Ather) and expanding the product range to other OEMs over time to build a stable recurring revenue line less cyclical than vehicle sales.
  • Opening of a new Nagpur facility is expected by December (FY '27), aiding growth especially in the luxury segment.
  • Potential acquisition of a new luxury car brand is targeted by the end of December (FY '27).
  • No immediate plans to enter Bihar/Patna markets; focus remains on consolidating Southern region, Maharashtra, and NCR over next 1 year.
  • Overall capital investments support portfolio strengthening, geographic expansion, and digital platform development.

How does Popular Vehicles & Services Ltd rank vs peers in Automobiles?

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1Popular Vehicles & Services Ltd
Rev 3Mar 2

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