Power Grid Corporation of India Ltd

Q3 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Power

Full Stock Analysis
capex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: No informationfundraise: No information
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- There is no explicit mention of any immediate or planned new fundraising through equity or debt in the provided excerpts. - The company’s current Debt: Equity ratio is improving, standing at 58:42, indicative of active debt management but no new issuance stated. - Equity infusion is primarily in transmission businesses and TBCB projects, with accumulated equity investment of about ₹4,100 crores in TBCB. - No explicit discussion on issuing new equity or raising fresh debt was noted. - CapEx targets for FY24 (~₹10,000 crores) and FY25 (~₹12,500 crores and higher if bigger projects are won) are funded presumably through existing financial resources. - Discussion on asset monetization via PowerGrid InvIT is ongoing but involves stake transfers rather than new fundraising. - Overall, focus appears on project bidding, asset capitalization, and monetization, rather than fresh fundraising.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Current fiscal year CapEx target: ~10,000 crores (already 4,000 crores capitalized). - FY25 CapEx projection: around 12,500 crores, potentially higher if big HVDC projects are won. - Capitalization target: ~10,000 crores for current year; for FY25 projected around 17,000 crores. - Cumulative CapEx for 11 TBCB projects: 8,500 to 9,000 crores; plus five more projects ~11,000 crores. - Total CapEx under hand including TBCB and RTM projects: around 50,000 crores, excluding intra-state projects. - CapEx outlook for next 9 years: estimated ~1,80,000 crores including RE related transmission. - Additional investments planned in data centers through a PowerGrid subsidiary, starting with a hyperscale data center in Manesar. - Consideration of international projects including connectivity studies with Sri Lanka. - TBCB equity investment till date ~4,100 crores. - Focus remains on transmission businesses; limited equity in telecom and consultancy.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- PowerGrid aims for strong future growth driven by increasing CapEx, with a target rising from ₹10,000 crores in current fiscal to around ₹12,500 crores in FY25, potentially higher if bigger projects like HVDC are won. - Capitalization is expected to jump from around ₹10,000 crores this year (₹4,000 crores already done) to about ₹17,000 crores next year. - Operational availability remains robust above 99.75%, supporting steady performance. - Transmission bidding pipeline is active with ₹60,000 crores expected over 12-18 months, and execution timelines of 24-30 months. - Significant opportunities arise from renewable energy (RE) related transmission assets and international projects targeting Africa and neighboring countries. - Data center business and smart metering infrastructure (₹15,000 crores over 10 years) represent additional growth avenues. - Overall outlook is bright with multiple large projects in the pipeline promising strong sales/revenue expansion.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- PowerGrid expects continued operational stability with availability above 99.75%, supporting consistent earnings. - CapEx is projected to increase significantly, from about ₹10,000 crores in the current fiscal to over ₹15,000-17,000 crores next year, indicating growth opportunities. - Capitalization targets are expected to rise, with ₹12,500 crores projected for FY25, potentially higher with HVDC project wins. - The company’s regulated equity stands around ₹82,000 crores, supporting steady return on equity (~15.5%). - Transmission and consultancy income are stable, with telecom income growing modestly. - There is no explicit guidance on EPS, but stable PAT growth is indicated with 4-5% quarter-on-quarter growth recently. - The outlook is bright with multiple projects in the pipeline, supporting medium to long-term profit and earnings growth.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Current order book stands at approximately ₹2.57 lakh crores (standalone) and ₹2.73 lakh crores (consolidated). - Capital Work-in-Progress is around ₹15,000 crores. - Bidding pipeline includes: - Around ₹67,000 crores approved and pending for bidding. - Another ₹45,000 crores in initial planning stages. - In calendar year 2023, approximately 25-26 projects have been bid out, with about 14 projects won so far. - Typical bidding timelines range from 12 to 18 months. - Execution timelines for awarded projects vary between 24 to 30 months, with some complex projects like HVDC taking longer. - CapEx target for FY24 is ₹10,000 crores, projected to increase to ₹12,500 crores in FY25, potentially higher with new projects. - Capitalization target is ₹10,000 crores for current year and around ₹17,000 crores for next year.