Ramkrishna Forgings Ltd
Q2 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis
Auto Components
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- Full-year capex for FY '25 is guided at around INR 500 Crores for Ramkrishna Forgings standalone.
- Additional investment in subsidiaries is expected to be about INR 135 Crores.
- Investment in the Ramkrishna Titagarh joint venture project is around INR 100 Crores.
- No changes have been made to these investment plans — the company confirms to continue with this guidance.
- The total project cost for the Ramkrishna Titagarh joint venture has increased from an earlier estimate of INR 1,250-1,300 Crores to around INR 1,800 Crores currently.
- Acquired Resortes Libertad in Mexico to establish a legal entity quickly for starting manufacturing operations in Mexico, indicating a strategic move for geographic expansion.
- Subsidiaries like Ramkrishna Casting Solutions (previously JMT Auto) have started operations and continue to ramp up.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Ramkrishna Forgings expects volume growth of 15% to 20% for FY '25, driven by strong order book visibility and new order wins.
- Revenue growth is guided to be in line with volume growth, considering raw material price pass-through.
- Export revenue has seen improvement due to new product mix and customer additions, with realizations expected to remain stable.
- Domestic revenue showed a 3% decline due to raw material price decreases and lower offtake, but is expected to stabilize.
- Multitech Auto is expected to grow 15% to 20% with EBITDA margin improvement of 100 to 200 basis points.
- The ramp-up of subsidiaries like Ramkrishna Casting Solutions Limited (formerly JMT Auto), ACIL, and Multitech Auto is progressing, contributing to margin expansion and revenue growth.
- The Ramkrishna Titagarh joint venture project is on track for first production in FY '26, expected to add to future revenues.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Revenue growth guidance for FY '25 is 15% to 20% in volume terms.
- EBITDA margin expected to improve by 100 to 200 basis points at Multitech Auto subsidiary.
- Consolidated EBITDA margin stands around 23% and management is confident of sustaining 23%+ margins going forward.
- Subsidiaries, including Multitech, ACIL, and Ramkrishna Casting Solutions, are ramping up operations contributing to margin improvements.
- New order inflows totaling INR 1,679 Crores provide strong revenue visibility over next 3-4 years.
- Ramkrishna Titagarh JV project expected to start production by FY '26 end, adding to future revenues.
- Net profit after tax for Q1 FY '25 was INR 73.1 Crores; growth expected with operational efficiencies and order ramp-up.
- Management optimistic about continuing operational efficiencies and cost management to drive profits higher.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- Current order inflow for Q1 FY '25 is approximately INR 1,679 Crores.
- Breakdown by region and segment:
- North America: INR 526 Crores (CV: INR 201 Crores, LV: INR 109 Crores, EV: INR 16 Crores, Non-auto: INR 200 Crores)
- Europe: INR 287 Crores (mostly CV, EV ~1%)
- India: INR 442 Crores (CV: INR 362 Crores, Non-auto: INR 80 Crores)
- Railway segment: INR 284 Crores (undercarriage and other items)
- Rest of the world: INR 140 Crores (CV market)
- Total order book stands at over INR 1,200 Crores executable over 4 years.
- Expected annual executable order value: approximately INR 300+ Crores starting next year.
- Orders primarily spread across automotive CV, LV, EV segments, non-auto sectors, and railways.
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- As of Q1 FY'25, there is no indication of new fundraising through debt or equity.
- Gross and net debt increased by approximately INR 100 Crores on a consolidated basis due to investments in subsidiaries.
- Debt levels are expected to remain at the FY'24 levels by the end of FY'25, with no increase planned.
- Capital expenditure guidance remains unchanged: about INR 500 Crores for Ramkrishna Forgings standalone, INR 135 Crores for subsidiaries, and around INR 100 Crores investment in the Ramkrishna Titagarh JV project.
- No mention of fresh equity fundraising or debt issuance plans during the call.
- The company has substantial unutilized bank lines and prefers to keep these rather than holding large cash balances on its books.
