Ramkrishna Forgings LtdQ4 FY24

Ramkrishna Forgings Ltd Q4 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: ₹695P/E: 113.7Market Cap: ₹13.1K CrSector: Auto Components

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 2

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • The company aspires to achieve 15% to 20% volume growth overall in the coming year.
  • Export sales are expected to increase by at least 200 basis points in the sales mix, improving realization and margin.
  • Domestic market growth is forecasted at 10% to 12% over the next year, with market stabilization underway.
  • For the next 3 years, export and domestic revenue mix is expected to approach 50:50, with exports offering better margins.
  • The cold forging capacity planned to ramp up by FY '26-FY '27, targeting INR 250 Crores revenue at full utilization.
  • Non-automotive segment is expected to grow to 40% of revenue in 3 to 5 years, from current levels, driven significantly by railway orders.
  • Passenger vehicle (PV) segment expected to reach double-digit percentage revenue within two years.
  • Subsidiaries and acquisitions expected to contribute to 15% to 20% volume growth in consolidated numbers.

See what Ramkrishna Forgings Ltd management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.

Fundraise plans

  • No update on new fundraising through debt or equity was disclosed.
  • The company stated they will inform investors at the right opportune time regarding any such plans.
  • Current guidance includes maintaining working capital and consolidated debt at present levels, without mentioning fresh fundraising.
  • The promoter contribution in a JV project increased slightly, reducing debt somewhat, but overall project cost remained the same.
  • No extra costs incurred on credit, indicating stable financial management.
  • Other income includes interest from QIP funds parked temporarily in liquid funds, expected to go down as funds are utilized, alongside a reduction in finance costs.

See what Ramkrishna Forgings Ltd management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Proposal to add six-cylinder crankshaft machining facility at ACIL with an additional 20,000 metric tonnes capacity, valued at about INR 300 Crores; included in subsidiary capex guidance, no extra capex beyond that expected.
  • Standalone capex for current/future year around INR 400+ Crores, covering capacity additions, Mexico plant setup, and brownfield expansions.
  • Mexico plant currently non-operational, expected to generate INR 8-10 Crores revenues this year, with significant ramp-up next year.
  • Cold forging capacity of 25,000 tonnes expected to ramp up fully by FY26-FY27, targeting INR 250 Crores topline revenue.
  • JV investment for railway wheels totals about INR 210-240 Crores over next 2 years, with some spillover from FY24.
  • Maintenance capex estimated around INR 40-50 Crores annually.
  • Management consulting engagement ongoing for about 18 months aimed at operational improvements (specifics undisclosed).

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How does Ramkrishna Forgings Ltd rank vs peers in Auto Components?

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