Ramkrishna Forgings LtdQ1 FY26
Ramkrishna Forgings Ltd Q1 FY26 Earnings Call Analysis
Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.
Price: ₹572P/E: 128.9Market Cap: ₹10.4K CrSector: Auto Components
Management growth scorecard
Revenue
Category 3
Margin
Category 3
Fundraise
No
Order
Yes
Capex
Yes
2 of 5 growth signals are positive.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
Category 3- →FY27 export volumes expected to come back strongly, with better export-sales mix than previous years (Page 20).
- →Confident of surpassing 10-15% CAGR growth for FY27 and FY28, possibly higher, though exact numbers not provided (Page 19).
- →Targeting around 80-85% utilization of existing 350,000-400,000 tons capacity, leading to strong volume growth (Pages 12, 14, 19).
- →Domestic market volumes strong; exports expected to increase and improve overall margins over the next two years (Page 12).
- →Railway business growing, expected to reach double-digit revenue contribution (Page 18).
- →EV segment revenue targeted to be about 10% in two years, highlighting diversification into passenger vehicles (Page 18).
- →New orders worth Rs. 594 crores secured, supporting growth in both automotive and non-automotive segments (Page 5).
- →Margins expected to improve with higher capacity utilization and passing on energy cost increases (Pages 14, 19).
Margin guidance
Category 3- →The company expects healthy growth in FY27 with continued top-line and bottom-line improvement, though no specific numbers were given.
- →EBITDA margins improved by 200 basis points quarter-on-quarter, with further margin expansion expected as capacity utilization rises.
- →Management is confident of surpassing previous CAGR growth guidance of 10%-15%, anticipating even higher growth in FY27 despite geopolitical risks.
- →Export volumes are expected to grow significantly in FY27, with a stronger export mix leading to better margins over the next two years.
- →Capacity utilization is targeted to reach 80%-85% by Q3/Q4 FY27, supporting volume growth and improved operating leverage.
- →The company aims for at least 100-150 basis points margin improvement, contingent on passing through energy price increases from April 1 onwards.
- →Longer-term revenue contributions from aerospace (titanium/alloys) expected from FY29.
- →Focus on debt reduction alongside growth to support sustainable earnings enhancement.
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Fundraise plans
No- →No new significant capex planned for FY27 beyond Rs. 300 to Rs. 400 crores, primarily for maintenance and value addition, including JV contribution.
- →The company aims to focus on debt reduction, targeting a reduction of Rs. 400 to Rs. 500 crores in the current financial year.
- →Promoter funding and good performance are expected to support the debt reduction plan.
- →There is no mention of new equity fundraising or large debt-raising plans in the near term.
- →Future capex plans beyond FY27 are not finalized and are dependent on customer feedback and capacity requirements.
Order book
Yes- →Q4 FY26: Company secured new orders worth Rs. 594 crores, span of four years.
- → - 56% Auto segment; 44% Non-Auto segment.
- → - Auto: Rs. 334 crores (Rs. 323 crores CV sector, Rs. 11 crores EV sector).
- → - Non-Auto: Rs. 258 crores energy segment, Rs. 2 crores off-highway.
- →FY27 Orderbook:
- → - Incremental order for FY27 reported at Rs. 1,550 crores (reduced from Rs. 2,200 crores previous presentation due to timing adjustments).
- → - FY28 incremental order expected Rs. 1,100 crores more than FY27, with Rs. 2,800 crores total.
- →Capacity utilization planned to increase to ~80%-85% in FY27 to support orders.
- →No major revocation of orders; adjustments due to execution timing.
- →Ring rolling capacity currently at 121% utilization, but no plans for capacity increase in the financial year.
Capex plans
Yes- →For FY27, capex is planned at Rs. 300 to Rs. 400 crores, mainly for value-added projects and contributions to the joint venture.
- →An additional Rs. 50 crores is expected to be paid into the joint venture in FY27.
- →The focus in FY27 is on consolidation and debt reduction (targeting Rs. 400 to Rs. 500 crores debt reduction).
- →No major capex plans are finalized for FY28; discussions with customers regarding future capacity needs are ongoing.
- →Long-term plans include potential capex for growth beyond FY28, once customer feedback on capacity requirements is firmed up.
How does Ramkrishna Forgings Ltd rank vs peers in Auto Components?
Pro feature1Ramkrishna Forgings Ltd
Rev 3Mar 3
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