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Ratnamani Metals & Tubes LtdQ2 FY22

Ratnamani Metals & Tubes Ltd Q2 FY22 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 2,647P/E: 38.5Market Cap: ₹18.9K CrSector: Industrial Products

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • The company targets a revenue growth of 15-20% for the financial year, maintaining a growth trajectory of around 20% as a long-term expectation.
  • Volume growth in carbon steel is expected to be significant, approximately 25-30%, due to declining prices, but stainless steel volume growth will be modest as the focus is on higher value-added products rather than tonnage.
  • Utilization rates are expected to remain better supported by good monsoons and stable demand, with no major signs of demand destruction.
  • Growth drivers include expansion in petrochemical plants, refinery capacity expansions, and demand from water projects in Gujarat, Rajasthan, and Madhya Pradesh.
  • New opportunities in CGD (City Gas Distribution) projects and oil & gas sectors also contribute to growth prospects.
  • The company prioritizes high-value and import-substitute stainless steel products to maintain margins despite moderate volume increases.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Ratnamani Metals & Tubes Limited targets revenue growth of 15-20% for FY23, maintained despite market volatility.
  • EBITDA margins are expected in the 16-18% range, with quarter-on-quarter fluctuations possible due to product mix and raw material costs.
  • Utilization rates are expected to improve due to price corrections and good monsoons, supporting steady demand without major destruction.
  • The company anticipates maintaining a 20% growth trajectory over the longer term.
  • Growth is driven by strong order book (Rs. 2,345 crores as of August 1, 2022) across oil & gas, water, and process industries.
  • Focus on higher value-added stainless steel products is expected to boost margin quality rather than volume growth.
  • Maintenance capex remains controlled (~Rs. 40 crores) with most investments in capacity expansion and import substitution products.
  • Management confident of sustained earnings growth despite geopolitical and raw material cost challenges.

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Fundraise plans

  • No explicit mention of any current or planned new fundraising through debt or equity in the transcript.
  • The company’s net debt position as of June 2022 is modest, with debt around Rs. 150-160 crores and net debt approximately Rs. 60-70 crores.
  • The company maintains a positive net cash position but not significantly high due to working capital demands.
  • Maintenance CAPEX is around Rs. 40 crores and is accounted for in the P&L, with no indication of major new capital raising needs.
  • Ongoing investments include expansion projects (SS and HSAW mills), which are progressing but no mention of raising funds via equity or fresh debt for these.

Order book

Yes
  • Total order book as of August 1, 2022, stands at Rs. 2,345 crores, including Rs. 455 crores from exports.
  • Majority of the order book is from oil and gas and process industries; water segment orders are currently minimal.
  • Ongoing bids include approximately:
  • - 250,000 tons in Gujarat water projects
  • - 110,000-120,000 tons in Rajasthan water projects
  • - 200,000-400,000 tons in MP water projects (some figures vary slightly in discussions)
  • - 100,000 tons in oil & gas projects with tender results awaited
  • - 20,000-25,000 tons for City Gas Distribution (CGD) projects, expecting to secure 10,000-15,000 tons in ERW pipes
  • New CGD rounds are expected in 5-6 months; existing awarded areas are under CAPEX planning.
  • ERW orders are booked until November, with expected booking through March.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Additional CAPEX announced for Stainless Steel (SS) and Helical Submerged Arc Welded (HSAW) mill at a new location. Work on SS is ongoing and ground preparation for HSAW is in progress; updates expected in 3 to 6 months (Page 9).
  • New hot extrusion facility commissioned at Indrad replacing older facility at Kutch, with reduced import dependency (Page 12, 13).
  • Maintenance CAPEX around Rs. 40 Cr annually, expensed through Profit & Loss (Page 13).
  • Focus on high value-added and import substitute products, leveraging new capacities (Page 14).
  • Stainless Steel capacity utilization expected to be largely captive with some availability for external sales (Page 9).
  • No major change expected in CAPEX due to oil prices; emphasis on petrochemical expansion and related demand (Page 8).

How does Ratnamani Metals & Tubes Ltd rank vs peers in Industrial Products?

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