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Ratnamani Metals & Tubes LtdQ3 FY22

Ratnamani Metals & Tubes Ltd Q3 FY22 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 2,647P/E: 38.5Market Cap: ₹18.9K CrSector: Industrial Products

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Targeting revenue of INR 3,800 crores to INR 4,000 crores for FY '23, factoring in declining steel prices.
  • Expect volume growth of 10% to 15% from FY '23 levels, driven by ramp-up of stainless steel (SS) and line pipe facilities.
  • Stainless steel revenue share currently at 30%-35% (~INR 1,100-1,200 crores), expected to grow to INR 1,500-1,600 crores in next two years with better utilization of hot extrusion capacity.
  • Bid book includes approximately INR 3,000 crores in water segment and INR 1,000-1,500 crores in domestic oil & gas segment, with international projects also under bidding.
  • Expects sustained and increased demand in stainless steel segment, reflected by a high order book (~INR 3,200 crores).
  • Acquisition of Ravi Technoforge aims to scale revenues from INR 280 crores to INR 500-600 crores over next 2-3 years, with margin improvement.
  • Continuous expansion and capacity utilization to maintain EBITDA margin guidance of 15%-17%.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Ratnamani aims for revenue of INR 3,800 - 4,000 crores in FY '23, factoring in steel price declines.
  • Target volume growth of 10-15% in FY '23, driven by ramp-up of stainless steel and line pipe facilities.
  • EBITDA margins guided at 15-17%, considering the blend of stainless steel and project pipes.
  • Stainless steel segment revenue expected to grow from current INR 1,100-1,200 crores to INR 1,500-1,600 crores in 2 years with higher hot extrusion utilization.
  • Ravi Technoforge acquisition aims to raise revenue to INR 500-600 crores in 2-3 years with EBITDA margin improvement from 14% to 16%.
  • Export orders and new projects from revived oil & gas and water segments expected to support growth.
  • No margin erosion expected despite faster order book additions; margins stable across domestic and export markets.
  • Ongoing capex of INR 125-175 crores annually over next 1-2 years to support expansion.

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Fundraise plans

  • There is no specific mention of any current or future fundraising through debt or equity in the transcript.
  • The company has planned capex of around INR 125 crores for the current year and INR 150-175 crores for the next year, funded presumably through internal accruals.
  • The acquisition of Ravi Technoforge involved investment (INR 50 crores already spent), but it is indicated that this is separate from planned capex.
  • Management highlights strong cash flows and suggests that the planned capex and investments are manageable within current resources.
  • No explicit reference to raising funds via debt or equity was discussed during the call.

Order book

Yes
  • As of November 1, 2022, the order book stood at approximately INR 3,200 crores, up from INR 2,946 crores on October 1, 2022.
  • Bid book details:
  • - Water segment: Close to INR 3,000 crores under bidding.
  • - Oil and gas segment (domestic): INR 1,000 to INR 1,500 crores under bidding.
  • - Additional international projects are also under bidding.
  • Carbon steel segment: Major projects like Sauni (2.5 lakh tons) and other Gujarat water projects totaling close to 300,000 tons (~INR 3,000 crores) are under consideration.
  • Stainless steel export order book is at its highest, around INR 3,200 crores.
  • Bid book and order inflow growth are attributed to leveraging geographic advantages and no margin hits in bidding.
  • Pending bid book for carbon steel mainly involves large water and oil/gas projects in Gujarat, Rajasthan, and Punjab.

Capex plans

Yes
- Ongoing capex of INR 125 crores in current year and INR 150-175 crores in next year for expansions. - Two major expansions underway: • Stainless steel cold finishing facilities (~INR 180 crores announced earlier). • Carbon steel pipe manufacturing facility in eastern India (~INR 150 crores), with possible delay due to equipment being shifted to Rajasthan. - Investment in acquisition of majority stake in Ravi Technoforge Private Limited; INR 50 crores already infused for its expansion. - Ravi Technoforge plans revenue growth to INR 500-600 crores in 2-3 years with margin improvement by ~2%. - Expansion includes ramping up hot extrusion capacity utilization from current 20-30% to maximum in 3 years. - Future capex beyond INR 500 crores revenue at Ravi Technoforge will be required. - Organic and inorganic growth continues to be pursued, with focus on long-term sustainable value creation.

How does Ratnamani Metals & Tubes Ltd rank vs peers in Industrial Products?

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1Ratnamani Metals & Tubes Ltd
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