Ratnamani Metals & Tubes Ltd

Q3 FY21 Earnings Call Analysis

Industrial Products

Full Stock Analysis
capex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: Yesfundraise: No information
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- There is no explicit mention of any current or immediate future fundraising through debt or equity in the transcript. - The company discussed capital expenditure plans, including a Rs. 100 Crores capex for revamping a German plant for high-end aerospace and nuclear application. - Expansion and capacity additions are planned, with new projects likely to be announced in the next 6-12 months. - The company appears to fund capex through internal accruals and working capital management, with a net cash balance of around Rs. 230 Crores as of the call date. - Management did not indicate plans for raising equity or debt but mentioned planning for future expansions prudently. - Focus remains on capacity utilization and incremental growth rather than immediate large-scale fund raising.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- A new specialized instrumentation tube plant is being set up for aerospace and nuclear applications with a capex of around Rs. 100 Crores, expected to be completed in 9 to 12 months. - A German plant (acquired from nuclear application) is being revamped and modified with Rs. 100 Crores capex, focusing on high-end stainless steel tubes for aerospace and nuclear industries, to be completed within 9 to 12 months. - Additional capacity expansions have been made recently, including hot extrusion stainless steel and LSAW carbon steel plants, with investments around Rs. 165 Crores over the last 2.5 years. - Next major capex announcements/plans are expected within 6 to 12 months as greenfield projects take 18 to 24 months; plans include further stainless steel expansion. - No immediate large capex beyond these, though small backward integration or maintenance capex may occur over next two years. - Focus remains on ramping up utilization of new capacities and careful expansion planning.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- The company targets 15% to 20% year-on-year growth in sales/revenue for the next two to three years, with a goal to reach 4500 to 5000 Crores by the third year. - Incremental capex can increase capacity to around 4500 Crores topline, with plans for further big capex announcements within 6 to 12 months. - Growth is driven by increased capacity utilization in stainless steel (SS) and carbon steel, including new plants like hot extrusion and LSAW capacity. - The focus remains on high value-added stainless steel products, expected to structurally improve margins and sales contributions. - The German plant specialized for aerospace and nuclear tubes is expected to contribute to revenues within 9 to 12 months post commissioning. - Overall demand is supported by robust oil & gas sector expansion locally and internationally, alongside positive outlook on exports due to anti-dumping duties on Chinese products.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Ratnamani Metals expects a 15-20% year-on-year growth in revenue over the next 2-3 years, driven by added capacities and strong demand in oil & gas and related sectors. - The company aims to reach a topline of ₹4,500–5,000 Crores by the third year with existing and upcoming capacities. - EBITDA margins are projected to remain stable around 16%-18%, with potential upside from higher value-added stainless steel products. - New investments, such as the German plant (₹100 Crores capex) focused on aerospace and nuclear applications, are expected to deliver higher margins and added revenue streams within 9-12 months. - Hot extrusion capacity ramp-up is anticipated in the near term, further supporting top and bottom line growth. - Management maintains a conservative guidance but is confident in improving both volume and margin structurally as product mix shifts to higher-value stainless steel pipes.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- As of October 1, the order book was close to ₹1,741 Crores. - The order book remains stable after accounting for received and dispatched orders, with updated figures expected soon. - Orders are primarily from the oil and gas sector, both domestic and international, including EPC contractors like Toyo and L&T. - EPC customers tend to place piecemeal orders covering material for about three months due to price volatility. - Customers sometimes delay order execution or inspection clearances due to pricing or financial arrangements, causing some variability around the ₹3,000 Crores annual target. - The company books raw materials on a back-to-back basis aligned with orders to avoid leakage. - Demand from water projects remains muted, affecting carbon steel orders in that segment. - Overall, order inflow and execution are steady with a focus on stainless steel and carbon steel products.