Raymond Realty Ltd

Q2 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis

Realty

Full Stock Analysis
margin: Category 3orderbook: No informationfundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 2
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- There is no explicit mention of any immediate plans for fundraising through debt or equity in the transcript. - Management emphasized capital allocation towards launching new JDA projects, aiming to sign INR6,000 to INR10,000 crores worth annually. - The company prefers reinvesting generated cash into business growth rather than buybacks or financial engineering. - The focus is on an asset-light model through JDAs and achieving strong operational growth with ROCE targets around 20%-25%. - No indication of fundraising plans, but capital is prioritized for project launches rather than external equity or debt raising at this stage.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Raymond Realty plans significant capital allocation toward launching new projects, targeting to sign JDAs worth INR6,000-10,000 crores annually. - The company is focused on an asset-light model through Joint Development Agreements (JDAs), minimizing heavy landholding investments. - Five projects are expected to launch in the next year, requiring capital deployment for project execution. - Management prefers reinvesting earnings into business growth rather than financial engineering like buybacks. - Capital expenditure prioritizes project launches with targeted IRRs of 20%-25%, emphasizing profitable growth rather than buybacks or share price engineering. - No indication of major strategic investments outside core real estate development and maintenance services via their subsidiary Rayzone. - Focus remains on MMR and Pune regions for geographic expansion without other significant capex announcements.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Raymond Realty expects a 20% year-on-year growth in revenue for FY26, consistent with previous guidance. - New project launches are concentrated in Q3 and Q4 of FY26, which should drive sales and margin improvements in the second half of the year. - Annual signing targets for Joint Development Agreements (JDA) projects are between INR 6,000 to INR 10,000 crores, helping maintain a strong project pipeline. - The company aims to maintain steady-state operating margins around 20%. - JDA projects are expected to deliver 20-25% IRR, aligning with overall ROCE guidance of a minimum 20%. - The business growth is underpinned by a strong focus on timely project launches and delivery, an asset-light JDA model, and continued demand in Maharashtra real estate markets.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- FY25 revenue was about INR2,300 crores with an expected 20% growth in FY26. - Operating EBITDA margins are targeted around 20%, with initial quarters lower due to seasonality and project maturations. - JDA projects expected to deliver IRRs between 20%-25%, aligning with a minimum 20% ROCE going forward. - Blended margins (Thane + JDA) anticipated around 20%, with potential slight improvements. - Q2 FY26 revenues expected to be in line with Q1 (~INR400 crores), with significant launches planned in H2, driving higher revenues and profits. - Rayzone (maintenance arm) currently breaking even, margins expected to improve beyond 2-3 years but remain modest (10%-11%). - Growth driven by inventory launches across Thane, Bandra, Pune focused on mid to premium segments in Maharashtra region only. - Management confident of meeting annual guidance of 20% year-on-year growth in bookings and maintaining strong return ratios.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Raymond Realty's JDA projects have a Gross Development Value (GDV) of approximately INR 14,000 crores. - Raymond Realty’s share in these JDA projects is about INR 11,500 crores. - The projected timeline for completion of these projects is between five to six years. - Inventory launches are scheduled with 3-4 launches by March and 1-2 more in Q1 and Q2 of the next year. - Two new buildings worth INR 1100 crores (318 units) are being introduced imminently. - Bandra 2 and Wadala 1 project launches are planned for H2 of the financial year 2025. - The company follows an asset-light JDA model for future growth, reducing land ownership and focusing on partnerships.