Raymond Realty LtdQ1 FY27

Raymond Realty Ltd Q1 FY27 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 578P/E: 15.7Market Cap: ₹4.6K Cr

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

3 of 5 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • The company targets a minimum 20% growth in pre-sales and top-line revenue year-on-year, with expectations to do better in FY27 (Page 11).
  • EBITDA margin guidance for FY27 is between 16%-18%, indicating a stable margin profile despite growth (Pages 9, 15).
  • New project launches in Mahim set for Q3 FY27 and Kandivali development planned for FY28 will expand the portfolio and contribute to growth (Page 5).
  • The 6-year CAGR since 2021 has been 50% in booking value pre-sales and 84% in reported revenue, demonstrating strong growth trajectory (Page 5).
  • Revenue growth is supported by a balanced mix of legacy land in Thane (INR25,000 crores GDV) and an expanding JDA portfolio (~INR17,000 crores GDV) across prime micro-markets (Page 5).
  • The percentage of JDAs in pre-sales increased to 54% in FY26, providing growth via an asset-light model (Page 5).
  • Sales volumes in Thane remain stable at INR1,300–1,500 crores annually due to competitive market dynamics (Page 7).

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • EBITDA margins expected to remain range-bound between 16%-18% in FY27, improving from 16% in FY26.
  • Target to achieve a 20% EBITDA margin as projects mature by FY28, driven by a mix of mature and new project launches.
  • Revenue growth guidance of a minimum 20% year-on-year increase in pre-sales and top-line for FY27.
  • Operating cash flow expected to remain negative over the next two years due to growth investments, but internal accruals and reinvestments will drive portfolio expansion.
  • Gross Development Value (GDV) pipeline of ~INR42,000 crores with strong execution and strategic launches planned in FY27 and FY28.
  • Consistent financial discipline maintained with debt-to-equity ratio below 1:1, supporting sustainable growth.
  • Earnings and profit growth to follow as new JDAs mature and sales/collections accelerate.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • As of FY26, Raymond Realty ended the year with a debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.6 and maintains an internal discipline not to exceed 1:1 debt to equity.
  • The company communicated to markets its commitment to stay within this debt-to-equity limit.
  • Liquidity buffer of INR 358 crores plus access to debt makes the company well-funded for FY27 requirements.
  • Internal accruals from projects (e.g., INR 450-500 crores annually from Thane land) support operations and growth.
  • The company projects to remain cash negative overall for next two years due to growth investments, but internal accruals will grow and be reinvested.
  • No specific mention of planned new fundraising through equity or additional debt in near term.
  • Focus is on disciplined financial management and reinvesting cash flows rather than aggressive new fundraises.

Order book

Yes
  • The company has around INR 4,000 crores of pending collections from sold inventory as of FY26.
  • Internal accruals from Thane projects generate about INR 450 to 500 crores annually.
  • Joint Development Agreements (JDAs) launched in FY25 are expected to contribute another INR 100 to 150 crores annually.
  • Overall, internal accruals approximate INR 600 to 650 crores per year.
  • The total Gross Development Value (GDV) is approximately INR 42,000 crores, with INR 25,000 crores from the Thane region.
  • INR 25,000 crores includes both launched and yet-to-be-launched projects.
  • Detailed breakup of sales, launches, and collections is available in the investor presentation.
  • The company aims to maintain a disciplined debt-to-EBITDA ratio, ending FY26 at 0.6 and not exceeding 1:1 debt to equity going forward.

Capex plans

Yes
  • No explicit mention of current or future capex or strategic investments in new land acquisitions, as the company follows an asset-light model without capital-intensive land purchases.
  • Focus is on approval costs for launching new projects rather than land acquisition costs.
  • Internal accruals from existing projects like Thane (INR 450-500 crores annually) and JDAs (INR 100-150 crores) are reinvested into portfolio growth.
  • Approval costs are substantial and necessary to launch new projects.
  • For the next two years, overall cash flow is expected to be negative due to ongoing expansion and investments in approvals.
  • The company targets sustainable growth by reinvesting internal accruals and managing debt prudently (debt-to-equity maintained below 1:1).
  • Future commercial development in Thane is planned but not yet activated.
  • Pipeline of new JDAs remains strong, with new projects to be launched, indicating ongoing investment into development projects.

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