Refex Industries LtdQ2 FY25

Refex Industries Ltd Q2 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 296P/E: 14.5Market Cap: ₹4.1K Cr

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 1

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

4 of 5 growth signals are positive — a strong management growth story.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 1
  • Ash and coal handling business is the primary growth driver with revenues rising from INR68 crores last year same quarter to INR550 crores in Q1 FY25, expecting continued quarter-on-quarter growth.
  • Daily ash handling capacity currently at 50,000 metric tons with capacity to scale further as new orders are secured.
  • Ash handling volumes targeted to grow roughly 3x from 6 million tons last year to about 18 million tons this year.
  • Green mobility segment aiming for a fleet expansion to 2,000 electric vehicles by March next year, with potential revenues of INR7-8 lakhs per vehicle annually.
  • Refrigerant gas business steady with INR20.91 crores revenue this quarter; power trading and coal trading continued alongside ash handling.
  • Management confident of maintaining robust growth momentum quarter-on-quarter for the rest of the year.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Revenue growth momentum is expected to continue quarter on quarter driven mainly by ash and coal handling business.
  • Q1 FY25 showed 54%-55% YoY increase in total income; a similar growth outlook is envisaged for the rest of the year.
  • EBITDA grew 42.85% YoY in Q1 FY25, with expectations of improving margins as ash handling contract efficiencies increase.
  • PAT rose 63.39% YoY in Q1 FY25; EPS grew by 56.28%, indicating strong profitability gains.
  • Ash handling business capacity and fleet expansions are planned, supporting volume growth and margin improvement.
  • Electric vehicle segment projected to scale from 539 vehicles to 2000 by March next year, with revenue potential of INR 7-8 lakhs per vehicle annually.
  • Coal and ash handling margins expected to improve as business mix shifts towards higher-margin ash handling.
  • Overall, company expects sustained growth in operating profits and EPS backed by core business expansion and diversified segments.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • Refex Industries has not taken approval for any immediate fundraising as of now; the INR1000 crore approval is only an enabling provision for future needs, allowing fast approval if required.
  • Current funding for capex (around INR100 crores for fleet addition in ash handling and green mobility) is expected to come from internal accruals and working capital limits with lenders.
  • The company is not currently seeking a new CFO, as the strong accounts team manages financial operations and fundraising strategy.
  • Preferential allotment of warrants to Sherisha Technologies (promoter holding company) was done mainly to meet working capital requirements and for Refex e-Veelz procurement.
  • No specific debt or equity fundraising plans announced at this time; focus remains on internal funding and managing working capital efficiently.

Order book

Yes
  • Management confirmed having a good signed order available to support growth.
  • Capacity increase to meet new orders will not be an issue; management is prepared for capex if required.
  • The ash handling business is continuously growing, with ongoing efforts to acquire more contracts.
  • They currently handle around 50,000 tons per day of ash and coal, with the capacity to do much more by adding fleet and resources.
  • New client additions are expected to add about 7,000 to 10,000 tons per day within two to three months.
  • The order book supports growth momentum quarter on quarter.
  • No immediate large planned fundraise or capex beyond internal funding and working capital limits for fleet expansion outlined.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Current capex is close to INR100 crore, covering both coal/ash handling fleet and electric vehicle (EV) fleet expansion.
  • For doubling ash handling fleet capacity from 800 to around 1,500-1,600 vehicles, capex of approximately INR75-100 crore is expected if vehicles are owned.
  • Majority of fleet vehicles are leased; aim to own no more than 10% of the fleet.
  • No immediate large-scale capital raise planned; internal funding and working capital limits with lenders are being utilized.
  • An enabling resolution for raising up to INR1000 crore is in place for future working capital needs but no immediate deployment planned.
  • Capital deployed so far in ash and coal handling business is around INR400 crore (including approx. INR100-130 crore in fixed assets and INR270 crore working capital).
  • Expansion is driven by growing ash handling opportunities and EV fleet scaling to 2,000 vehicles by March 2025.

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