Repco Home Finance Ltd
Q3 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis
Finance
fundraise: Yescapex: No informationrevenue: Category 4margin: Category 3orderbook: No
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- The company is on a growth path and confident of reaching previous high levels in coming years.
- Disbursement guidance for FY2025 is between INR3,600 to INR3,800 crores, expecting around 30% growth in the second half compared to the first half.
- New sales hires (around 170 foot-on-street salespeople plus branch heads) and expanded sourcing channels (corporate DSAs, connectors) aim to boost sales.
- Overall sales team strength may increase by 20-30 employees by year-end.
- Increasing use of DSAs and connectors expected to raise their share of disbursements from about 30% to nearly 40% by year-end.
- Historically, the second half exhibits better sales activity (Q3 and Q4 stronger than H1).
- The target AUM is INR15,000 crores, though slight shortfall (INR100-200 crores) is possible due to repayments.
- Efforts to reduce repayments via customer engagement and rate reductions are underway to support growth.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- The company expects continued growth momentum in its business parameters and is positive about meeting its guidance numbers for FY25.
- Disbursements are targeted between INR 3,600 to INR 3,800 crores, with recruitment of experienced sales personnel to boost growth in H2 FY25.
- AUM growth may slightly fall short of the INR 15,000 crores target by INR 100-200 crores due to elevated repayments and BTOuts, but inorganic growth via book purchase or DA transactions could bridge the gap.
- Profitability remains strong with Q2 FY25 PAT of INR 113 crores (15% YoY growth), ROA at 3.3%, and ROE at 16%.
- The company maintains a spread of 3.4% and NIM of 5.1%, though slightly lower than the previous year.
- Cost-to-income ratio is stable; non-interest income is benefiting from increased insurance commission.
- Focus on reducing Stage 2 overdues and improving collections with additional manpower is expected to improve operating earnings.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- The technically written-off assets amount to approximately INR100 crores currently.
- The total write-off for the last 12 months is INR13 crores, all technical write-offs.
- Actual write-offs historically are less than INR15-20 crores.
- The company has issued around 1,700 demand notices in the current half-year, with 500 auction notices and 447 possession notices.
- Auctioning of Stage 3 NPA accounts is an ongoing activity, with a mega auction planned for December.
- Repayments in the last year have increased to around INR200 crores per month, up from INR150 crores roughly a year ago.
- Sales and collection teams have been increased for better recovery and business growth.
- The company expects to reach around INR15,000 crores AUM by FY25, but may fall short by INR100-200 crores if current repayment trends continue.
- Disbursement target for FY25 is around INR3,600 to INR3,800 crores.
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- The company is actively approaching the National Housing Bank (NHB) for loans, with proposals currently in the pipeline, implying potential new borrowing through NHB loans during the current year.
- They have approval from the AGM and the Board to tap the Non-Convertible Debenture (NCD) market and will consider raising funds through NCDs if market conditions are favorable.
- There are no fixed plans for securitization currently; however, they remain open to possible Pass-Through Certificate (PTC) transactions if opportunities arise.
- No specific equity fundraising plans were mentioned in the provided discussion.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- The company has invested approximately INR27 crores so far on new software, with Phase 1 (LLMS and EGL) stabilized and Phase 2 (support functions) in various stages of implementation and testing.
- There is an ongoing plan to expand touchpoints, with an expected increase from 227 outlets (184 branches, 43 satellite centers, plus 2 asset recovery branches) to approximately 250 by March 2025.
- No specific mention of future large-scale capex or strategic investments beyond branch expansion and technology upgrades.
- The focus appears to be on organic growth through increasing branches and enhancing technology infrastructure rather than inorganic acquisitions or large capital expenditures at this stage.
