Repro India LtdQ2 FY17
Repro India Ltd Q2 FY17 Earnings Call Analysis
Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.
Price: ₹372Market Cap: ₹523 CrSector: Printing & Publication
Management growth scorecard
Revenue
Category 3
Margin
Category 3
Fundraise
N/A
Order
Yes
Capex
Yes
2 of 4 growth signals are positive.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
Category 3- →Repro India aims to rapidly increase the number of listed titles, targeting to surpass 10 million titles before 2020, possibly even sooner.
- →They plan to expand printing capacity from the current 6,000 books per day to 12,000, with further expansions expected post achieving full utilization.
- →Currently selling around 3,000 to 4,000 books per day, equating to approximately Rs. 3 crores revenue per month, with expectations to grow this volume.
- →Expected improvement in operational efficiency and conversion rates (20-30%) through establishing new regional centers in Chennai and Delhi.
- →Strategic focus on acquiring more titles, especially mid and back titles which yield higher contribution margins, to grow sales and market share.
- →Export business is anticipated to revive alongside steady domestic growth in the coming quarters.
- →No explicit EBITDA guidance given, indicating a focus on top-line growth and market penetration first before profitability optimization.
Margin guidance
Category 3- →The company does not provide specific future earnings or EBITDA guidance, including for Books On Demand (BOD) business.
- →EBITDA for the BOD segment was roughly break-even in the recent quarter.
- →The BOD business is expected to grow by acquiring more titles and increasing sales volume; however, profitability depends on reaching certain sales scale.
- →Revenue from BOD currently is about Rs. 3 crores per month, with plans to expand capacity from 6,000 to 12,000 books and beyond, hinting at longer-term growth potential.
- →Capacity expansions are planned in Chennai, Delhi, and Mumbai to improve operational efficiency and margins.
- →Export and print business revenues have faced headwinds but are expected to stabilize or revive gradually.
- →The company focuses on reducing costs, including employee costs, to improve margins.
- →Overall, growth is anticipated through scale, better terms with publishers, and expanded product listings, though timeline and specific profitability improvements are not disclosed.
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Fundraise plans
- →Currently, Repro India Limited is managing its operations and investments through internal accruals.
- →The planned investment for expanding the Rapples business is around Rs. 15 crores, which will be funded internally.
- →There is no immediate indication of raising new debt or equity for these expansions.
- →Regarding setting up new facilities in Chennai and Delhi, CAPEX will be required but it is described as marginal and not very large.
- →The current debt level is Rs. 197 crores; no explicit plans have been stated about raising additional debt.
- →The company will assess the situation at the time if additional funds are needed, implying no firm commitment yet to raise fresh funds via debt or equity.
Order book
Yes- →Domestic market has an opening order book of around Rs. 25 crores, which is expected to be mostly executable within the quarter (7 to 10 days lag for revenue recognition).
- →Export order book opening is around Rs. 16 crores; revenue recognition might spill over into the next quarter as goods need to reach customers.
- →The export order book execution timeline is longer compared to domestic, due to delivery and transit times.
- →Repro India is working to maintain a good mix of domestic and export orders to manage revenue flows effectively.
Capex plans
Yes- →Repro India is undertaking CAPEX to expand capacity from the current 6,000 to 12,000 books, with planned investments in Chennai, Delhi, and some in Mumbai. (Page 17)
- →Chennai facility already has premises and a plant, making it easier and faster to start; machine delivery and installation takes around 2 months, requiring 15-20 employees initially. (Page 21)
- →One facility is expected to be operational this financial year, possibly both Chennai and Delhi. (Page 13)
- →Further capacity expansions beyond 12,000 books per day are planned for the future. (Page 11)
- →No current plans for further investment in the Rapples digital business; existing IT investments are leveraged for Books On Demand. (Page 22)
- →Current expansion managed internally through accruals, amounting to about Rs. 15 crores; future funding decisions depend on circumstances. (Page 21)
How does Repro India Ltd rank vs peers in Printing & Publication?
Pro feature1Repro India Ltd
Rev 3Mar 3
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