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Repro India LtdQ2 FY17

Repro India Ltd Q2 FY17 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 372Market Cap: ₹523 CrSector: Printing & Publication

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Repro India aims to rapidly increase the number of listed titles, targeting to surpass 10 million titles before 2020, possibly even sooner.
  • They plan to expand printing capacity from the current 6,000 books per day to 12,000, with further expansions expected post achieving full utilization.
  • Currently selling around 3,000 to 4,000 books per day, equating to approximately Rs. 3 crores revenue per month, with expectations to grow this volume.
  • Expected improvement in operational efficiency and conversion rates (20-30%) through establishing new regional centers in Chennai and Delhi.
  • Strategic focus on acquiring more titles, especially mid and back titles which yield higher contribution margins, to grow sales and market share.
  • Export business is anticipated to revive alongside steady domestic growth in the coming quarters.
  • No explicit EBITDA guidance given, indicating a focus on top-line growth and market penetration first before profitability optimization.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • The company does not provide specific future earnings or EBITDA guidance, including for Books On Demand (BOD) business.
  • EBITDA for the BOD segment was roughly break-even in the recent quarter.
  • The BOD business is expected to grow by acquiring more titles and increasing sales volume; however, profitability depends on reaching certain sales scale.
  • Revenue from BOD currently is about Rs. 3 crores per month, with plans to expand capacity from 6,000 to 12,000 books and beyond, hinting at longer-term growth potential.
  • Capacity expansions are planned in Chennai, Delhi, and Mumbai to improve operational efficiency and margins.
  • Export and print business revenues have faced headwinds but are expected to stabilize or revive gradually.
  • The company focuses on reducing costs, including employee costs, to improve margins.
  • Overall, growth is anticipated through scale, better terms with publishers, and expanded product listings, though timeline and specific profitability improvements are not disclosed.

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Fundraise plans

  • Currently, Repro India Limited is managing its operations and investments through internal accruals.
  • The planned investment for expanding the Rapples business is around Rs. 15 crores, which will be funded internally.
  • There is no immediate indication of raising new debt or equity for these expansions.
  • Regarding setting up new facilities in Chennai and Delhi, CAPEX will be required but it is described as marginal and not very large.
  • The current debt level is Rs. 197 crores; no explicit plans have been stated about raising additional debt.
  • The company will assess the situation at the time if additional funds are needed, implying no firm commitment yet to raise fresh funds via debt or equity.

Order book

Yes
  • Domestic market has an opening order book of around Rs. 25 crores, which is expected to be mostly executable within the quarter (7 to 10 days lag for revenue recognition).
  • Export order book opening is around Rs. 16 crores; revenue recognition might spill over into the next quarter as goods need to reach customers.
  • The export order book execution timeline is longer compared to domestic, due to delivery and transit times.
  • Repro India is working to maintain a good mix of domestic and export orders to manage revenue flows effectively.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Repro India is undertaking CAPEX to expand capacity from the current 6,000 to 12,000 books, with planned investments in Chennai, Delhi, and some in Mumbai. (Page 17)
  • Chennai facility already has premises and a plant, making it easier and faster to start; machine delivery and installation takes around 2 months, requiring 15-20 employees initially. (Page 21)
  • One facility is expected to be operational this financial year, possibly both Chennai and Delhi. (Page 13)
  • Further capacity expansions beyond 12,000 books per day are planned for the future. (Page 11)
  • No current plans for further investment in the Rapples digital business; existing IT investments are leveraged for Books On Demand. (Page 22)
  • Current expansion managed internally through accruals, amounting to about Rs. 15 crores; future funding decisions depend on circumstances. (Page 21)

How does Repro India Ltd rank vs peers in Printing & Publication?

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1Repro India Ltd
Rev 3Mar 3

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