Rico Auto Industries Ltd

Q2 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Auto Components

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

The transcript provided on page 14 and surrounding pages does not mention any current or future plans for fundraising through debt or equity by Rico Auto Industries Limited. Key points related to financial outlook focus on: - Order book growth and capacity expansion plans, especially for export and hybrid vehicle components. - Investment cautiousness in electric vehicle components due to market uncertainty. - Expansion in defense and domestic market orders, with new manufacturing facilities being set up. - Margin improvement efforts primarily through cost control and pricing adjustments. - No mention of plans to raise capital either through debt issuance or equity dilution in the discussed period. Therefore, there is no indication from the call that the company is pursuing or planning new fundraising through debt or equity at this time.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Rico Auto Industries has set up a new manufacturing plant in Hosur primarily for Toyota and its ancillaries like Aisin, with orders worth INR350 crores. - Production at the Hosur facility is scheduled to start in 2026, with peak output expected three years after commencement. - Expansion plans include utilizing the Dharuhera facility, previously idle, for manufacturing oil pumps and water pumps (RFL segment). - The company is cautious about investments in electric vehicle (EV) components due to uncertain order volumes but is optimistic about hybrid vehicle components, with strong orders from Toyota. - There is ongoing capital investment to expand capacity with customers like Maruti, Hero, and Bajaj. - Investments are being made to improve R&D capabilities and manufacturing processes, targeting higher-margin, complex components. - Overall, the company is investing strategically to support growth in hybrid vehicles, defense products, and domestic market expansion.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Rico Auto Industries expects sales to improve significantly from Q2 FY25 onwards, with quarter-on-quarter growth of 7-8% expected in Q2 and Q3, and nearly 20% growth in Q4. - Domestic orders have been strong, with INR450-500 crores in new confirmed orders expected to start production mostly in FY26-FY27. - Export sales are projected to rise from around INR475-480 crores in FY24 to over INR600 crores in FY25, marking a substantial jump. - The company targets overall revenue of INR4,800-5,000 crores by FY28-29 based on 50%+ confirmed orders and ongoing negotiations. - There is cautious optimism in electric vehicle components, with hybrid vehicle parts seeing strong demand, especially from Toyota. - Defence segment sales expected to double next year, with growing acceptance of domestic products. - Capacity expansions in Hosur and Chennai for key customers like Toyota and others will support growth.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Q1 FY25 was a bit disappointing, but improvement expected from Q2 onwards with sales growth projected at 7-8% per quarter, culminating in ~20% growth in the last quarter. - New orders received worth INR 458 crores in Q1 FY25 with an additional INR 450-500 crores expected, leading to total new orders of ~INR 900 crores in FY25. - By FY28-29, revenue target is INR 4,800 to 5,000 crores supported by confirmed orders and ongoing negotiations. - EBITDA margins targeted at 18-20% for new orders, improved from previous 12-13%, driven by better R&D and manufacturing efficiencies. - Defence segment expected to grow with revenues set to double next year; average margins ~15%. - Export sales expected to reach INR 600 crores in next year, a substantial jump from INR 475-480 crores in current year. - Earnings growth to be supported by ramp-up in hybrid vehicle components and recovery in electric vehicle market demand.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Last year, Rico Auto Industries picked up new orders worth approximately INR 450 crores. - In Q1 FY25 alone, new orders of INR 458 crores were secured. - An additional INR 450-500 crores worth of orders are expected to be added further. - Total new orders confirmed and picked up amount to nearly INR 805 crores per year. - Orders include good-margin and newer components for customers like Maruti, Hero, Bajaj, Toyota, and exports to BMW and others. - Orders extend into FY 25-26 and FY 26-27 for future production and deliveries. - Hosur facility orders stand at INR 350 crores, with production starting in 2026 and peak value expected within 3 years. - Export orders for FY 25-26 are expected to cross INR 600 crores, marking a substantial jump. - The company is cautiously monitoring electric vehicle market demand before investing further.