Rico Auto Industries LtdQ3 FY25

Rico Auto Industries Ltd Q3 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 132P/E: 37.3Market Cap: ₹2.1K Cr

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 1

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

3 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Orders in hand for FY '26-'27 are approximately INR 2,920 crores, close to INR 3,000 crores, with expectations to reach INR 3,200 crores the year after.
  • Including RFQs, total opportunity is near INR 4,000 crores, indicating significant growth potential.
  • The company targets an annual growth rate of 12% for FY '24-'25 and FY '25-'26 based on orders in hand.
  • From FY '26-'27 onwards, growth is expected at around 8%-10% per year considering current orders.
  • Long-term target is to reach about INR 5,000 crores in revenues by FY '29-'30.
  • Domestic market share is increasing, with several clients moving from 50%-70% share to 100% in some cases.
  • Export markets are expected to recover by next year after recent geopolitical pressures.
  • The company aims to sustain and grow revenues through diversified customer base including electric vehicle makers.

Margin guidance

Category 1
  • Target EBITDA margin for FY25 is 11%, with an internal and Board target to reach 13% soon, possibly next year.
  • Expectation of better profits than the previous year by end of FY25 due to cost control and aluminum price lag compensation.
  • Revenue target for FY27 around INR 3,000 crores based on orders in hand; potentially reaching INR 3,200 crores beyond that.
  • Defence segment revenue estimated at INR 50 crores this year, with internal targets to reach INR 75 to 100 crores in future years, contributing to better margins.
  • Organic growth driven by increasing market share in domestic and export markets, aiming for 12% growth in FY24-25 and FY25-26 and 8-10% thereafter based on current order book.
  • Long-term goal to reach INR 5,000 crores in revenue by FY29-30, driven by both domestic and export market expansion.
  • EPS expected to improve in line with margin expansion and growth in revenues.

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Fundraise plans

  • There is no explicit mention in the transcript of any current or planned fundraising through debt or equity.
  • The company focuses on operational improvements, order book growth, and cost management rather than fundraising.
  • Discussions primarily revolve around revenue growth, margin improvement, market share, expansion plans (like the new Hosur plant), and defense business development.
  • No direct reference to raising capital or issuing new shares or debt instruments was made during the call.

Order book

Yes
  • Orders in hand for FY '26-'27 are around INR 2,920 crores (close to INR 3,000 crores) ready for execution.
  • Including Request for Quotes (RFQs), total potential orders are close to INR 4,000 crores.
  • Defence bidding orders under discussion amount to INR 300-400 crores per year, though not yet confirmed.
  • Annual new orders received till now are INR 490 crores, expected to convert to INR 750-800 crores.
  • The company targets around 12% growth based on orders in hand for FY '24-'25 and FY '25-'26.
  • Long-term target: close to INR 5,000 crores by FY '29-'30, with a 15-18% yearly growth including RFQs.
  • Domestic market orders have grown significantly; export orders are expected to recover next year.

Capex plans

Yes
  • New plant construction at Hosur is being planned, with ground preparation underway and construction expected to start next quarter.
  • The Hosur plant is dedicated primarily to Toyota for hybrid and electric vehicle components.
  • Equipment ordering for the new plant will commence soon alongside building construction.
  • Strategic focus on expanding domestic market share by utilizing surplus export capacity.
  • Ongoing introduction of the Rico Production System to improve efficiency, reduce manpower by 40%-50% in about 30% of production areas, with plans to extend it further.
  • No specific mention of other capital investments or strategic acquisitions discussed in the call.

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1Rico Auto Industries Ltd
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