RKEC Projects

Q1 FY18 Earnings Call Analysis

Construction

Full Stock Analysis
capex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 3orderbook: Yesfundraise: Yes
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- No current plans for raising further equity such as Follow-on Public Offer (FPO). (Page 7) - For financial assistance, the company may have to pledge promoter shares as collateral to banks due to tightening bank norms; without collateral, banks are not giving bank guarantees or financial assistance. (Page 7) - Company is approaching private sector banks and Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) for cash credit limits and banking facilities, aiming for better interest rates. (Page 15) - Credit limits are being enhanced with existing banks (e.g., Vijaya Bank) to support increased working capital requirements. (Page 12) - No explicit mention of new debt issuance, but working capital limits and bank guarantees are being expanded. (Pages 12, 15)
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Current year CAPEX planned around Rs. 35 crores to Rs. 40 crores (Page 7). - CAPEX might increase to Rs. 50 crores to Rs. 60 crores as the company enters the bridge segment, requiring purchase of equipment and machinery (Pages 16-17). - CAPEX is driven by ongoing and upcoming EPC projects, dependent on design specifics, especially span length which affects equipment costs (Page 17). - Strategy involves striking a balance between owning equipment and hiring to optimize margins (Page 17). - Some equipment costs are mitigated by in-house development of machinery, reducing costs by 30-40% compared to purchasing externally (Page 19). - Potential strategic moves include negotiations with professionals for R&D and technology upgrade (Page 8).
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- The company expects a 20% to 25% increase in revenue every year. (Page 10) - For FY19, a growth of around 30% to 35% in revenue is anticipated. (Page 10) - Order book is expected to reach around Rs. 1,300 crores by the third quarter of FY19. (Page 12) - Execution of Rs. 300 crores from the Rs. 820 crores order book planned in FY19, with the balance carried forward. (Page 17) - Additional order inflows of approximately Rs. 500 crores expected, targeting a total order book of around Rs. 1,000 crores by the end of FY19. (Page 17) - The company expects to maintain PAT margins between 7% to 9% through FY19 despite CAPEX and shift in project mix. (Page 18) - CAPEX planned in the range of Rs. 50 to 60 crores to support growth, especially in the bridge segment. (Page 16-18)
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Revenue growth expected at 20% to 25% annually, with 30%-35% growth projected for FY19. - PAT margin guidance maintained between 7% to 9%. - Order book expected to rise to around Rs. 1,300 crores by FY19 Q3. - Execution order book of approx. Rs. 1,000 crores by FY19 end with bridges constituting Rs. 600-700 crores. - New growth segment in bridges with expected Rs. 50-60 crores CAPEX for equipment. - Margins expected to be maintained despite CAPEX and higher equipment hire, supported by better project execution and completion. - Government payments stable with some delays, expected to improve so profitability will be sustained. - Earnings growth will benefit from completion bonuses on ongoing projects, with advances and receivables management improving cash flow. - No dilution expected; capital raising not currently planned, with financing done through pledging shares if needed.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Current confirmed order book: Approximately Rs. 826 crores, including Rs. 500 crores with a Chinese partner. - Expected execution of Rs. 300 crores in FY19, reducing unexecuted orders to around Rs. 500 crores. - Additional orders expected: Around Rs. 500 crores; total order book expected to reach Rs. 1,000 crores by end of FY19. - Breakdown of unexecuted order book by end FY19: Rs. 600-700 crores in bridges, 75-80% from Central Government, 20-25% State Government. - New bids under submission: Around Rs. 1,300 crores with an expected success rate of 40-50%. - Focus on bridge segment with Rs. 1,000 crores of new bridge projects expected this year. - Drone subsidiary received Rs. 8.07 crores orders, expecting additional Rs. 10 crores.