Rocket Lab Corporation
Q1 FY26 Earnings Call Analysis
Aerospace and Defense
fundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
π°fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- Recently completed an ATM (at-the-market) equity offering, raising $450.4 million during the quarter.
- In April, completed another ATM offering raising an additional $24 million in cash.
- Entered into a collared forward transaction with a floor price of $474 million.
- Access to capped call transaction proceeds related to 2024 convertible notes offering, with a maximum payment of $201.9 million by maturity in 2029.
- February 2024, raised $355 million through convertible bond offering with an effective post-capped call price of $8.04/share.
- Executed three ATM facilities at increasing average prices of $26.19, $47.85, and $70.47 per share respectively.
- Recent ATM included collared forward transactions with floor price of $63.61 and ceiling price of $86.11.
- Cash balance plus financing access totals over $2 billion in liquidity.
- Funds intended to support acquisitions and robust M&A strategy.
ποΈcapex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- Capital expenditures in Q1 2026 were $27.1 million, down from $49.7 million in Q4 2025.
- The decrease reflects less capital investment in Neutron development, specifically the return on investment recovery barge and the launch complex 3 pad at Waltz, Virginia.
- Going forward, capital expenditures are expected to remain elevated to support:
- Neutron testing and production scaling.
- Infrastructure expansion.
- The company continues to invest strategically in acquisitions such as Geost, Optical Systems, Monarch, and MOI, which will add to market opportunity and growth.
- Recent capital raises and equity offerings have increased liquidity to over $2 billion, backing investment plans.
- Investments aim to support M&A and scaling business beyond Neutron's initial test flight.
πrevenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Q2 2026 revenue is expected between $225 million and $240 million, reflecting 16% quarter-over-quarter growth.
- Longer-term, strong top-line growth is anticipated, supported by scale-up of satellite platforms and Neutron launch vehicle.
- Electron and HASTE launch frequency is targeted at about 24 launches per year, with HASTE potentially reaching ~20-25% of total launches.
- Space Systems revenue is expected to grow with increasing mix contribution, alongside Electron launches, but no dramatic near-term shifts.
- Margins are expected to improve as Electron reaches target margins (~24 launches/year) and Neutron matures, eventually achieving Space Systems' target margins.
- Longer-term targets include gross margins around 50% or greater and operating margins in the mid- to upper-20% range.
- International opportunities and hypersonics markets may broaden revenue base beyond U.S. government programs.
πmargin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Q1 2026 adjusted EBITDA loss was $11.8 million, better than guidance, driven by higher revenue and strong gross margin.
- Q2 2026 revenue guidance: $225M-$240M, reflecting 16% QoQ growth at midpoint.
- Q2 2026 GAAP gross margin expected between 33%-35%; non-GAAP gross margin 38%-40%, impacted by Space Systems business mix.
- GAAP operating expenses for Q2 projected at $138M-$144M; non-GAAP $120M-$126M, with increases from Monarch acquisition and Neutron development.
- Adjusted EBITDA loss for Q2 expected between $20M and $26M.
- Long-term targets include gross margins around 50% or greater and operating margins in mid to upper 20% range.
- Neutron program expected to significantly improve P&L post first flight (anticipated 2027+), with strong cash flow generation following fleet build-out.
- Continued strong revenue growth anticipated from scaling satellite platforms and progressing Neutron towards first flight.
πorderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- Rocket Lab's backlog has surpassed $2 billion in contracted revenue, marking a 20% increase over the quarter and 108% year-on-year growthβthe highest ever recorded.
- In Q1 2026, they booked more launches (31 Electron and HASTE missions plus 5 Neutron contracts) than in all of the previous year.
- Current launch backlog includes over 70 Electron and HASTE missions, setting a new record.
- HASTE orders alone account for almost one-third of the total launch backlog.
- The company secured a $190 million 20-launch order through Kratos for the Department of War and MACH-TB, the largest single order within the program.
- Financial liquidity stands at over $2 billion, with $1.48 billion in cash and equivalents.
- Neutron also has a healthy multi-year backlog with strong demand and firm pricing.
