Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd

Q1 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Leisure Services

Full Stock Analysis
capex: Yesrevenue: Category 1margin: Category 3orderbook: Yesfundraise: Yes
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- The company plans to utilize internal accruals primarily for renovations and growth initiatives rather than raising new capital. - There is no mention of any immediate or planned new fundraising through debt or equity in the current discussions. - Cash generated will be used for buying out partners in some subsidiaries and for hotel renovations. - Dividend payouts are planned to increase next year, indicating available cash flow but no clear indication of raising new funds. - The company is focusing on management contracts and revenue-sharing models, which require lower capex and reduce the need for large external funding. - No explicit plans or announcements regarding new debt or equity fundraising were made in the provided transcript.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- The company plans to use internal accruals of around INR 10-15 crores for renovating 2-3 existing hotels in the current financial year, as no major capex has been done in the last 4-5 years. - New hotel additions under the revenue share model involve capex of approximately INR 5-6 crores per hotel (typically 70-80 rooms) in the first year. Management contracts require no capex. - The company targets adding about 40-50 new hotels in the next year, with about 10-15 on revenue sharing. - Plans include buying out partners in some subsidiaries/hotels to develop properties independently. - Expansion into international markets (Sri Lanka, Thailand, Nepal) is exploratory with a recently appointed VP leading the effort; no specific capex details mentioned yet.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Targeted revenue for the current financial year is INR 400 crores, up from INR 263 crores reported for the previous year, indicating substantial growth. - EBITDA is expected to increase to INR 120 crores from INR 98.3 crores in FY '23. - Expansion plan includes increasing the number of hotels from about 90 currently to 140-150 by the end of the financial year. - Room capacity expected to grow from approximately 5,400 rooms to between 7,500 and 8,000 rooms by FY '24. - About 24 signed hotels in the pipeline adding around 1,100 rooms, with further plans for 20-25 more hotels adding 1,500 rooms. - Expected average room rate (ARR) growth of around 15% in the current financial year. - Occupancy is already high at about 77%, with limited scope for further increases. - Majority (~80-85%) of new hotels will be on management contracts, minimizing capex and encouraging asset-light growth.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- FY '24 revenue target: INR400 crores, up from INR263 crores in FY '23. - FY '24 EBITDA target: INR120 crores, up from INR98 crores in FY '23. - EBITDA margin expected to be slightly lower due to increased revenue from lower-margin revenue share models. - PAT before exceptional items for Q4 FY '23 rose 159% YoY to INR12.98 crores; annual PAT nearly doubled at INR50 crores. - Dividend payouts expected to increase next year with higher profits. - Strong expected ARR growth: 10-15% uplift forecast for the current financial year. - Occupancy levels likely to be stable around 77%, not expected to grow significantly further. - Expansion plans include over 60 new hotels (~3000 rooms) in pipeline, focusing mostly (80%) on asset-light management contracts to improve margins and returns. - ROCE and ROE expected to improve with growing share of management contracts and revenue share models.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Royal Orchid Hotels currently has around 24 hotels signed in the pipeline, which will add approximately 1,100 rooms. - This addition will bring the total rooms to about 6,500 soon. - The company is targeting an additional 1,500 rooms through another 20-25 hotels, aiming to reach between 7,500 and 8,000 rooms. - There is ongoing work on both brownfield and greenfield projects for further conversions and new capacity additions, but exact bifurcation is not finalized. - The development teams are in discussion to decide on these projects, ensuring a steady pipeline for future years. - The company plans to expand hotel count to 140-150 hotels by the end of FY '24, up from 90 hotels currently operating. Overall, the orderbook shows a robust pipeline with signed hotels and active projects aimed at significant growth in rooms and hotel count.