Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd

Q1 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Leisure Services

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: No information
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- The company currently has access to ample debt funding, with interest rates having declined from 16% to 9%, and banks actively approaching them for loans. - Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd is judiciously using available debt to grow through a revenue share model rather than aggressively taking on new asset ownership. - There is no explicit mention of planned new equity fundraising in the call. - The focus remains on capital deployment for existing projects, such as the Mumbai hotel and refurbishments in Goa and Bangalore. - Growth strategy emphasizes management contracts and revenue share assets to enhance return on capital and EBITDA, minimizing the need for large additional capital raises. - Any future fundraising would likely be aligned with sustaining growth without undue risk, but no concrete plans for new debt or equity rounds were disclosed in this call.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Goa CapEx may be delayed due to pending plan sanction; work will start once sanctioned, likely after peak season (Nov-Jan). - Bangalore hotel CapEx includes addition of 28 rooms expected by March 2025; this will be capitalized and not hit P&L. - Refurbishment (₹2-3 crores) ongoing for various hotels, including Bangalore, mainly maintenance/upgrades, not heavy CapEx, spread over the year. - Mumbai hotel development (approx. 300 rooms) is a major ongoing project with expected revenue from FY 2025-26; involves significant capital and operational ramp-up. - Investment focus favors high return on capital employed properties; growth via management/revenue share models preferred over owning assets. - Launch of new hotel brands planned, including a 5-star brand to be introduced with Mumbai hotel and a "smart" tech-savvy hotel brand targeting millennials, possibly tested in Gurgaon. - Overall, strategic investment emphasizes asset-light model with selective capex on owned/high-return properties and brand expansion.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd expects meaningful top-line growth in coming quarters as new properties open, especially with 150 properties under management, revenue share, or ownership in the next two years. - Mumbai hotel is expected to generate ₹100-120 crores top-line at steady state (FY25-26), significantly boosting revenue. - Surat managed property (288 rooms) will progressively contribute fees as rooms come online over 12 months, improving bottom line with minimal cost impact. - Overall revenue growth for FY25 is projected around ₹370-380 crores with a 4-5% ARR growth. - Post-election corporate demand is likely to revive from Q2 onwards, enhancing revenues. - Expansion through revenue share and management contracts drives resilient fee-based income, supporting stable growth even during downturns. - New brand launches (5-star and smart budget) targeting different segments are expected to facilitate market expansion and revenue diversification.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- The company expects a roughly 15% growth in Profit Before Tax (PBT) in FY25, heavily dependent on the Mumbai hotel's opening (targeted for January). - Top-line growth for FY25 is projected around ₹370-₹380 crores. - EBITDA growth is expected in the range of ₹10-₹15 crores for FY25. - Refurbishment expenses of ₹2-3 crores are expected in FY25, considered as investment for future growth. - Fee-based income from managed hotels offers resilience and steady earnings, with new properties and revenue-share hotels adding to top line. - Long-term growth driven by increasing number of managed and revenue-share hotels (150 properties targeted in next two years). - EPS remains strong with consolidation of new hotels; PAT increased by 3% in FY24 and is expected to improve further. - Focus on return on capital employed (ROCE) remains high at 20%, one of the best in the industry.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd has been actively adding hotels, with 1,170 keys added since April 2023. - In Q4 FY24 alone, they added 3 hotels with 131 keys. - The company has a significant pipeline, including a large 288-room managed property in Surat, currently one-third operational, expected to be fully operational in 12 months. - The new Mumbai hotel with 300 rooms is expected to open by the end of the calendar year and is projected to generate ₹100-120 crores in top-line revenue at steady state. - Growth in management contracts has been aggressive, doubling the number of hotels post-COVID, with more pipeline announced. - Future income from new contracts is linked to revenue growth, implying orderbook revenue will increase with Average Room Rate (ARR) improvements. - Other banqueting-focused initiatives for 20 hotels indicate ongoing expansion in services.