Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd

Q2 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis

Leisure Services

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 2orderbook: Yes
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- The transcript does not explicitly mention any current or planned fundraising through debt or equity. - The company is focusing on growth through internal cash flow and investments from existing resources. - INR 25-30 crore investments are planned for new revenue-sharing hotels, funded internally. - The company is using free cash flow (around INR 55 crore currently, growing to INR 70 crore in FY26) for growth, renovations, and brownfield expansions. - No clear indication of plans for raising additional equity or debt in the near term was given. - The focus appears to be on leveraging cash profits and efficient capital allocation to fund expansion and renovations.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Iconiqa Mumbai hotel involved significant cash investment from Royal Orchid, expected to break even within 3 months and achieve INR 100 crore topline with 15% margin after lease rent in FY26. - INR 25-30 crores investment planned for revenue share hotels under growth initiatives, including Gurgaon and others. - Around 40% of current free cash flow (~INR 55 crores) allocated to growth, focusing on new hotels and revenue share models. - Another 40% of cash flow directed towards renovation and internal improvements, including expansions like Goa hotel. - The company is cautious with Iconiqa brand expansions, emphasizing maintaining five-star, lifestyle standards. - Investment approach includes capital outflows for leased hotels, managing renovation backlogs from COVID-19 periods, and maintaining hotel standards in growth. - Cash use is opportunistic for adding managed and leased properties, with growth focused more on management contracts except for select leased properties. Overall, Royal Orchid focuses on growth through selective capital expenditure on new leased properties, renovations, and strategic brand expansion.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Royal Orchid Hotels aims to nearly triple hotels from 115 to 345 and increase keys from 9,605 to 22,000 by 2030. - The company targets a combined revenue of around INR 100 crores from the new Iconiqa Mumbai hotel with about a 15% margin after lease rent. - They anticipate rapid growth starting October FY26 with multiple inquiries indicating strong brand recognition. - Expansion is focused on an asset-light model with most new hotels under management contracts; revenue share hotels constitute a smaller portion. - Management expects strong margin improvements and cash profit growth in FY27 despite some IndAS accounting effects. - Projections show consolidated revenue growth with Q1 FY26 revenues at INR 78.8 crores (up 8%), EBITDA at INR 23.7 crores (up 11%), and PAT increasing 28%. - The company plans capital investments of INR 25–30 crores in revenue share hotels over the upcoming year, with sustained reinvestment towards growth and renovations.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- For FY27, the company expects EBITDA to be significantly better; however, the mentioned INR 75 crore figure relates to profit (non-IndAS) and not EBITDA. - Iconiqa hotel is targeted to achieve about INR 100 crore top line with approximately 15% margin after lease rent in its first year. - Management contracts primarily yield management fees rather than revenue; revenue share hotels contribute to consolidated revenues. - Revenue guidance for FY27 and long-term return ratios are outlined, with sustained profitability and plans to maintain 19%+ ROCE at the company level. - Cash profit is expected to grow from INR ~70 crores in FY26, with higher substantial growth next year, supported by ongoing expansions and renovations. - Vision 2030 aims to triple hotels from 115 to 345 and grow keys from 9,605 to 22,000, signaling strong compounding growth and scalability. - Emphasis on achieving sustained profitability along with expansion through revenue-share and management contracts over the next 3 years.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Upcoming hotels pipeline includes 2,577 keys as per the latest presentation. - Out of these, approximately 650 keys are under lease or revenue share basis (including three hotels with 190+, 124, and 220 keys). - The balance keys (~1,927 keys) are under management contracts. - Revenue share hotels require cash investments between INR 25 crores and INR 30 crores over the next year. - The brand is receiving inquiries almost daily, indicating a strong pipeline, although only about 5-10% of inquiries typically convert. - The company is actively expanding with a focus on asset-light models and management contracts. - Iconiqa Mumbai, a 291-key upscale lifestyle property, recently soft launched and will be fully operational soon, contributing to future orderbook revenue. - The group expects rapid growth in development and is hosting industry meetings, highlighting its active market presence and opportunities.