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Royal Orchid Hotels LtdQ1 FY24

Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd Q1 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 343P/E: 23.9Market Cap: ₹892 CrSector: Leisure Services

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd expects meaningful top-line growth in coming quarters as new properties open, especially with 150 properties under management, revenue share, or ownership in the next two years.
  • Mumbai hotel is expected to generate ₹100-120 crores top-line at steady state (FY25-26), significantly boosting revenue.
  • Surat managed property (288 rooms) will progressively contribute fees as rooms come online over 12 months, improving bottom line with minimal cost impact.
  • Overall revenue growth for FY25 is projected around ₹370-380 crores with a 4-5% ARR growth.
  • Post-election corporate demand is likely to revive from Q2 onwards, enhancing revenues.
  • Expansion through revenue share and management contracts drives resilient fee-based income, supporting stable growth even during downturns.
  • New brand launches (5-star and smart budget) targeting different segments are expected to facilitate market expansion and revenue diversification.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • The company expects a roughly 15% growth in Profit Before Tax (PBT) in FY25, heavily dependent on the Mumbai hotel's opening (targeted for January).
  • Top-line growth for FY25 is projected around ₹370-₹380 crores.
  • EBITDA growth is expected in the range of ₹10-₹15 crores for FY25.
  • Refurbishment expenses of ₹2-3 crores are expected in FY25, considered as investment for future growth.
  • Fee-based income from managed hotels offers resilience and steady earnings, with new properties and revenue-share hotels adding to top line.
  • Long-term growth driven by increasing number of managed and revenue-share hotels (150 properties targeted in next two years).
  • EPS remains strong with consolidation of new hotels; PAT increased by 3% in FY24 and is expected to improve further.
  • Focus on return on capital employed (ROCE) remains high at 20%, one of the best in the industry.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • The company currently has access to ample debt funding, with interest rates having declined from 16% to 9%, and banks actively approaching them for loans.
  • Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd is judiciously using available debt to grow through a revenue share model rather than aggressively taking on new asset ownership.
  • There is no explicit mention of planned new equity fundraising in the call.
  • The focus remains on capital deployment for existing projects, such as the Mumbai hotel and refurbishments in Goa and Bangalore.
  • Growth strategy emphasizes management contracts and revenue share assets to enhance return on capital and EBITDA, minimizing the need for large additional capital raises.
  • Any future fundraising would likely be aligned with sustaining growth without undue risk, but no concrete plans for new debt or equity rounds were disclosed in this call.

Order book

  • Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd has been actively adding hotels, with 1,170 keys added since April 2023.
  • In Q4 FY24 alone, they added 3 hotels with 131 keys.
  • The company has a significant pipeline, including a large 288-room managed property in Surat, currently one-third operational, expected to be fully operational in 12 months.
  • The new Mumbai hotel with 300 rooms is expected to open by the end of the calendar year and is projected to generate ₹100-120 crores in top-line revenue at steady state.
  • Growth in management contracts has been aggressive, doubling the number of hotels post-COVID, with more pipeline announced.
  • Future income from new contracts is linked to revenue growth, implying orderbook revenue will increase with Average Room Rate (ARR) improvements.
  • Other banqueting-focused initiatives for 20 hotels indicate ongoing expansion in services.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Goa CapEx may be delayed due to pending plan sanction; work will start once sanctioned, likely after peak season (Nov-Jan).
  • Bangalore hotel CapEx includes addition of 28 rooms expected by March 2025; this will be capitalized and not hit P&L.
  • Refurbishment (₹2-3 crores) ongoing for various hotels, including Bangalore, mainly maintenance/upgrades, not heavy CapEx, spread over the year.
  • Mumbai hotel development (approx. 300 rooms) is a major ongoing project with expected revenue from FY 2025-26; involves significant capital and operational ramp-up.
  • Investment focus favors high return on capital employed properties; growth via management/revenue share models preferred over owning assets.
  • Launch of new hotel brands planned, including a 5-star brand to be introduced with Mumbai hotel and a "smart" tech-savvy hotel brand targeting millennials, possibly tested in Gurgaon.
  • Overall, strategic investment emphasizes asset-light model with selective capex on owned/high-return properties and brand expansion.

How does Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd rank vs peers in Leisure Services?

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1Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd
Rev 3Mar 3

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