RPP Infra Proj.

Q4 FY18 Earnings Call Analysis

Construction

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Annual capex typically ranges from Rs. 3 to 5 Crores to replace old machinery. - For the current year, capex increased to Rs. 5 to 8 Crores due to participation in a large concrete road project requiring specialized machinery (concrete paver). - If the order book doubles from Rs. 750 Crores to Rs. 1500 Crores, incremental capex would be Rs. 10 to 25 Crores depending on project type: pipeline projects require minimal capex, while concrete road and building projects could need an additional Rs. 5 to 10 Crores. - Assets purchased specifically for projects not regularly used are sold off or leased out, e.g., a filing rig was sold after one year due to lack of suitable projects. - Strategic JV planned with HUNAN State (74% HUNAN, 26% R.P.P.) to bid on larger infrastructure projects in Amravathi, expanding bidding capacity beyond Rs. 100 Crores as a local partner with access to their equipment and expertise.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- FY2017 revenue projected at around Rs. 400 Crores but likely to achieve Rs. 340-350 Crores due to demonetization impact. - FY2018 revenue expected to grow to approximately Rs. 450 Crores. - Order book expected to grow from Rs. 784 Crores (Dec 2016) to around Rs. 900-1000 Crores by April 2017. - Additional Rs. 300 Crores worth of L1 orders likely to be awarded, supporting growth. - Focus on increasing order book gradually, targeting Rs. 1000 Crores by April 2017 and potential doubling thereafter. - Business growth driven primarily by infrastructure and water segments, which typically yield higher margins (infra 12-15%, water 15-20%). - Participation in government schemes (AMRUT, PMKSY, PMGSY) expected to sustain order inflows. - Expansion through joint ventures and increased bidding in larger projects anticipated. - EBITDA margins expected to be maintained at 14-15%.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Revenue for FY2017 was projected at Rs. 400 Crores but actual expected to reach around Rs. 340-350 Crores due to demonetization impact. - Revenue for FY2018 is expected to grow to approximately Rs. 450 Crores. - EBITDA margins are consistent at around 14-15%, expected to be maintained in coming years. - The company aims to grow order book to Rs. 900-1000 Crores by April 2017 and further increase it beyond Rs. 1000 Crores over the next two years. - Growth driven mainly by infrastructure and water management projects with higher margins (12-20%), less focus on low-margin building projects. - Profit after tax showed robust 40% YoY growth in Q3 FY2017, indicating potential for continued profit growth. - Fundraising plans will be considered if order book crosses Rs. 1000 Crores to support expansion. - Management confident about securing quality projects and improving collections, which will further support earnings growth.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Current order book as of December 2016: Approximately Rs. 784 Crores. - Order book composition: 41% infra, 26% water management, 33% building. - Around Rs. 300 Crores worth of orders are in L1 status. - Expectation to close FY2017 with an order book of around Rs. 1,000 Crores. - By April end 2017, expected order book to grow to around Rs. 900 to 1,000 Crores. - Participated in additional L1 projects worth around Rs. 200 Crores, including TANGEDCO (Rs. 350 Crores, L1) and other projects in Tamil Nadu and Karnataka. - Order execution timeline ranges from 12 to 24 months. - Company aims to increase the order book gradually, focusing on quality and profitable projects. - Plans to raise funds if order book crosses Rs. 1,000 Crores for further expansion.
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- Fundraising plans are considered if the order book crosses Rs. 1000 Crores. - Currently, the order book is significantly lower; thus, no immediate fundraising is planned. - Increasing the order book by 50% or more to cross this threshold will trigger the need for fund raising. - No specific timeline or detailed plan for debt or equity fundraising was provided. - The company aims to maintain quality order inflow before considering fund raising. - Capex requirements will rise moderately with the doubling of the order book but will be managed within Rs. 10-25 Crores, reducing the immediate need for large fund raising.