S H Kelkar & Co.Q2 FY24

S H Kelkar & Co. Q2 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: ₹138P/E: 41.7Market Cap: ₹2.0K CrSector: Chemicals & Petrochemicals

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

No

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 5 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Management expects a 12% medium-term CAGR growth in revenue, with confidence in sustaining this trend (Page 6).
  • Volume growth is projected to be double-digit, driven by market share gains, especially from new global MNC clients and large corporates (Pages 14, 15).
  • The Fragrance segment is expected to grow at over 12% CAGR, while the Flavour segment targets around 15% CAGR growth (Page 10).
  • Growth is supported by a mix of new and existing products, with new products contributing around 3-6% to revenues (Page 5).
  • Export business remains seasonal and uncertain short-term but expected to recover long-term (Page 10).
  • The company sees upside risk beyond the 12% growth guidance due to ongoing RFQs and new customer acquisitions (Page 10).
  • Strategic efforts via backward integration and new product launches will aid sustainable volume and revenue growth.

See what S H Kelkar & Co. management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.

Fundraise plans

No
  • There are no immediate plans to repay the debt as of now.
  • Current operations are generating free cash flow, which is progressively reducing debt.
  • Recent investments have been concluded in the Indonesia plant and the Holland Aromatics acquisition.
  • No large deployments or new investments are foreseen in the next couple of quarters.
  • Debt levels are expected to start coming down after this period.
  • The company plans to maintain net debt to EBITDA ratio below 2x as a priority.
  • There is no mention of any new fundraising through debt or equity in the near term.

See what S H Kelkar & Co. management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Recently concluded investments in the Indonesia plant and the acquisition of Holland Aromatics.
  • Indonesia factory is expected to commence by the end of the current financial year, enhancing capacity for Middle East and Southeast Asia markets.
  • No immediate plans for new capacity investment in Europe; will assess market conditions over the next year or two before deciding.
  • Plans to augment India capacity by supporting export business from the India plant, leveraging the new Indonesia facility.
  • Backward integration for Global Ingredients scheduled for completion in Q4 FY24, expected to improve supply chain resilience and cost competitiveness.
  • No large capital deployments anticipated in the next couple of quarters; operational cash flow used to reduce debt progressively.

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