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S H Kelkar & Company LtdQ3 FY24

S H Kelkar & Company Ltd Q3 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 135P/E: 38.1Market Cap: ₹1.9K CrSector: Chemicals & Petrochemicals

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • The company expects second half FY25 revenue growth to be better than the first half, targeting around 14% full-year growth, exceeding the midterm CAGR target of 12%.
  • Growth guidance for FY26 and FY27 remains intact with continued momentum.
  • Strong growth is driven by small and mid-sized customers (40% growth contribution) and global accounts (40%).
  • New Creative Development Centres in Germany and UK will start contributing meaningful revenue in 6-8 months, supporting future growth beyond 12%.
  • Investments in Europe and America are expected to pay off in coming years, enhancing global presence.
  • India operations to double capacity; Europe to add 50% capacity over the next two years facilitating volume growth.
  • The company is cautiously optimistic pending global economic changes but sees opportunities arising from shifts in the supply chain and tariffs.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • The company expects to achieve a 20% EBITDA margin within the next 2-3 years, up from the current adjusted margin of around 16-18.5%, after accounting for ongoing investments in new growth areas.
  • Investments in new Creative Development Centres in Europe (Germany, Manchester) and America will start generating meaningful revenue in 6-8 months, supporting future growth.
  • Revenue growth is expected to be above 12% CAGR with a stronger second half for FY25, driven by contributions from small and mid-sized customers and global MNC accounts.
  • Insurance payouts related to recent fire incidents are expected by December-January, improving cash flow and reducing debt.
  • Incremental investments in R&D and production capacity are expected to taper, enabling margin expansion as revenues from these investments ramp up.
  • Overall, sustained volume-led growth, product mix improvements, and strategic international expansion underpin positive earnings and profit outlook.

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Fundraise plans

  • No explicit mention of any current or future fundraising through debt or equity in the transcript.
  • The company expects insurance payouts (~Rs. 100 crore) to start coming in December-January, which will help reduce debt.
  • Operational cash flow generation is improving, aiding debt reduction.
  • The company is funding CAPEX (~Rs. 200 crore over two years) largely from internal accruals and insurance reimbursements.
  • No indications or plans were discussed regarding raising funds via equity or additional debt during the call.

Order book

Yes
  • The transcript does not explicitly mention specific figures or details about the current or expected order book or pending orders.
  • However, it highlights a strong top-line performance driven by steady momentum in small and mid-sized customers and execution of prestigious global MNC orders.
  • There is mention of clearing backlog from previous disruptions, implying pending orders were addressed.
  • Growth is supported by new global accounts and expansion in various markets, including Europe and the US.
  • The company anticipates better second half performance with strategic initiatives contributing to order flow.
  • Opportunities are expected from geopolitical shifts, such as potential tariff changes in the US that may favor Indian suppliers over Chinese ones, which could translate to new orders.
  • Overall, order visibility appears positive with ongoing investments to support future growth and capacity expansion.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Total CAPEX planned around Rs. 200 crore over this and next year, including growth and reinstatement projects.
  • Rs. 47 crore CAPEX done in H1 FY25, with approx. Rs. 50 crore expected in H2 FY25 and another Rs. 50 crore in H1 FY26.
  • Major part (around Rs. 100 crore) for Vashivali factory rebuild due to fire incident.
  • Additional Rs. 50 crore to Rs. 60 crore incremental CAPEX expected post insurance reimbursement.
  • Building two new factories domestically and proposing a new factory in Europe (~Rs. 45-50 crore each).
  • European manufacturing capacity near 75-80% utilization; plans for one or two new European factories over next 2-3 years.
  • Closure planned for Mulund factory after new factories come online, leading to OPEX savings.
  • Investments include Creative Development Centres: Germany and Manchester operational; new US center starting with gradual investment ramp-up.
  • Annual recurring additional OPEX of around Rs. 20 crore in employee and operational costs for development centers.

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1S H Kelkar & Company Ltd
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