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S H Kelkar & Company LtdQ1 FY26

S H Kelkar & Company Ltd Q1 FY26 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 135P/E: 38.1Market Cap: ₹1.9K CrSector: Chemicals & Petrochemicals

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • European business expected to grow rapidly with new factory capacity enabling double-digit growth in next few years. (Page 12)
  • India and Asia markets to continue steady growth, with strong demand in India and Middle East. (Pages 10-12)
  • Middle East and APAC regions expected to provide 3-4 years of rapid revenue growth. (Page 12)
  • UK and US markets are longer-term growth drivers (3-4 years to ramp up), with large market opportunities. (Page 12)
  • Inflationary environments benefit market share gains; demand may be muted overall but company expects normal growth through share gains. (Page 15)
  • Confident of maintaining or surpassing FY2025 EBITDA levels in FY2027, indicating revenue growth support. (Page 15)
  • Structural portfolio adjustments removing low-margin business (~Rs. 50 crore) will not impact overall growth. (Page 14)
  • Continued strong demand and good win rates seen in recent quarters support growth outlook. (Page 15)

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Confident to achieve Rs. 300 crore+ EBITDA for FY2027, at least matching or exceeding FY2025 levels.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin expected to stabilize around 13%-14% in the near term, with efforts to maintain low double-digit margins despite inflation.
  • Demand expected to be muted industry-wide, but company aims for normal growth through market share gains.
  • Focus on portfolio optimization to exit low or negative margin businesses (~Rs. 50 crore exited) without hurting overall growth.
  • Growth drivers: mature steady businesses in India, expanding markets in Middle East and Southeast Asia, and longer-term investments in Europe, UK, and US with expected ramp-up over 3-4 years.
  • Longer-term EBITDA margin improvement from 10% (FY2026) to 14% by FY2029, though timing is uncertain due to dynamic environment.
  • Capex of Rs. 140 crore planned for FY2027, supporting capacity expansion and growth.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • No specific announcement of new fundraising through debt or equity in the near term.
  • Borrowings are expected to remain around Rs. 800 crore.
  • Temporary increase in debt is possible in the next 3-6 months due to higher inventory for supply security.
  • Long-term target is to reduce debt by approximately 10% each year after the interim increase.
  • Capex for FY27 is projected at around Rs. 140 crore, mostly front-ended in the first two quarters.
  • No mention of fresh equity fundraising plans; focus remains on managing operational and capex funding through internal accruals and controlled borrowings.

Order book

  • The company has a secure order book for the next six months, supported by price increases and supply contracts, especially for Q1 and Q2 of FY27.
  • They have adequate raw material inventory to ensure supply continuity and margin maintenance.
  • Due to inflation and supply chain volatility, they have a robust system to monitor orders and pricing, communicating frequently with clients.
  • There is strong demand and good win rates for product range developments, indicating a healthy pending order pipeline.
  • The ongoing portfolio optimization has led to exiting around Rs. 50 crore of low-margin business but is not expected to negatively impact overall growth or order inflow.
  • Transition of factories and capacity expansions in Europe and India are expected to support increased order execution and volume ramp-up in the coming quarters.

Capex plans

Yes
  • FY27 capex is expected to be around Rs. 140 crore, mostly front-ended in the first two quarters.
  • Almere factory (Netherlands) is fully operational, supporting European growth by debottlenecking capacity constraints.
  • Vanavate facility in Maharashtra expected to come on stream in the coming months, with the transition between factories happening over the next 6-12 months.
  • Rebuilding of the Vashivali factory is underway after a fire incident, adding to capex needs.
  • Three new development centers (Germany, Manchester UK, and US), with combined annual operating costs of Rs. 80-85 crore, are ongoing strategic investments expected to breakeven after 3-4 years.
  • No large capex planned in India beyond these, focus is on international expansion and capacity additions to support ramp-up in multiple geographies.
  • Long-term focus on innovation centers and factories to strengthen the global footprint and enhance product development capabilities.

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