Sadbhav Infra.
Q2 FY18 Earnings Call Analysis
Construction
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: No information
đ°fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- Sadbhav Infrastructure Project Limited plans to fund equity requirements for ongoing and upcoming HAM projects primarily through internal accruals and cash generation from operational projects in FY2019-2021.
- The company has drawn Rs.150 Crores out of Rs.520 Crores sanctioned at Maharashtra Border Check Post, with balance funds available for equity investment.
- Management is considering monetization of operational assets to raise further funds for growth and equity funding of new HAM projects.
- There is no explicit mention of raising fresh debt or equity from external sources immediately, but refinancing and restructuring of existing debt (NCDs) has been done to optimize costs.
- Management aims to complete financial closure for remaining HAM projects by September-October 2018 through lender discussions, indicating fundraising through project financing arrangements rather than direct equity/debt issuance.
- The focus is on bidding for new HAM projects with firm equity visibility and possible pre-bid lender tie-ups to facilitate financial closure.
đď¸capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- Sadbhav Infrastructure Project Limited plans to continue bidding for Hybrid Annuity Model (HAM) projects due to lucrative terms and expected lower competition.
- The company aims to maintain bidding activity for a good set of projects over the next 8-10 months.
- Equity infusion for 12 HAM projects includes around Rs. 321 Crores already invested, with a balance equity requirement of about Rs. 470 Crores.
- Funding for equity is expected primarily from internal accruals during FY2019-2021, supplemented by available sanctioned debt of Rs. 370 Crores.
- The strategy involves developing projects to stabilization, generating cash, and monetizing operational assets to recycle capital for new HAM projects.
- The focus remains on completing projects, stabilizing cash flows, and strategic asset churning to enable growth and maintain liquidity for future bids and investments.
đrevenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Traffic growth in operational projects is positive with notable increases in certain corridors (e.g., RohtakâPanipat 16.4%, RohtakâHissar 15.6%, HyderabadâYadgiri 11.2%). Overall portfolio traffic volume growth was around 6.5% in Q1 FY2019.
- Toll rate hikes, including an 18% hike at Maharashtra Border Check Post from April 1, 2018, are expected to boost revenues.
- New maintenance revenues from five recently won HAM projects are anticipated to start contributing from Q2 FY2019, supporting standalone business revenue growth.
- Ongoing construction and commencement of new HAM projects (12 projects) expected to enhance revenue over the next two to three years.
- Management expects strong cash profit growth (60% jump projected for FY2019 over FY2018), indicating solid revenue and volume momentum.
- Bidding activity for new hybrid annuity projects is expected to increase from September 2018 with 34 projects worth Rs. 36,612 Crores in the pipeline.
đmargin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Sadbhav Infrastructure Project Limited expects continued growth driven by strong cash generation from operational Special Purpose Vehicles (SPVs) and repayments each quarter.
- The company anticipates increased cash profits in FY2019, with Q1 cash profit more than doubling year-on-year, supported by refinancing and traffic growth.
- Operational SPVs revenue guidance stands at around Rs.1200 crores with EBITDA margin around 85% for FY2019.
- Maintenance revenues from new HAM projects will boost standalone business revenue from Q2 FY2019.
- The company is optimistic about bidding for new Hybrid Annuity Model (HAM) projects, targeting lucrative returns with expected equity IRRs around 19-20%.
- Monetization (churning) of stabilized projects will generate liquidity for funding new projects.
- Strong pipeline: NHAI has 34 HAM projects worth Rs.36,612 crores expected to be bid by September 2018, with manageable competition aiding win probabilities.
- Overall focus on expansion with managed debt and equity deployment aims at sustaining profitable growth.
đorderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- Outstanding order book of Sadbhav Infrastructure Project Limited (SIPL) is around Rs. 720 Crores for maintenance of 12 HAM projects, to be executed over 24 to 30 months.
- This includes L1 status for five newly won HAM projects.
- The MMR of DhuleâPalesner project is almost complete, with Rs. 16 Crores of work outstanding.
- Major maintenance for BijapurâHungund and HyderabadâYadgiri projects is expected to commence in the second half of FY2019.
- Total outstanding order book including all maintenance work stands at approximately Rs. 850 Crores, scheduled for execution in the next 24 to 30 months.
