Sagar Cements LtdQ2 FY24

Sagar Cements Ltd Q2 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: ₹150Market Cap: ₹2.0K CrSector: Cement & Cement Products

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 1

Fundraise

Yes

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

3 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Targeting around 6.2 million tons volume for the full year; 2.5 million achieved in H1, with 3.7 million expected in H2, driven by ramp-up at key plants.
  • Andhra Cements expected to grow volumes from 0.75 million tons this year to 1.25-1.5 million tons next year.
  • Jeerabad and Dachepalli plants are major growth drivers, expected to contribute 1 to 1.1 million tons in H2.
  • Overall, for next year, volumes are projected around 7.5 million tons on the higher side.
  • Existing assets are expected to grow conservatively at 2.5-3%; most volume growth will come from expansions and ramp-ups.
  • Andhra cement capacity expansions are progressing, aiming to increase clinker from 1.85 to 2.3 million tons and grinding capacity from 2.25 to 3 million tons by FY 2025.
  • Demand growth is expected in single digits overall, but volumes will increase due to capacity ramp-ups, especially in Andhra and newly acquired assets.

See what Sagar Cements Ltd management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.

Fundraise plans

Yes
  • The company is awaiting investment committee approval for their CapEx plans, which includes maintenance and expansion projects.
  • They plan capital increases at Andhra Cement to comply with regulatory requirements for dilution (from 95% to 90% within 12 months and 75% within 3 years), indicating future equity fundraising.
  • The company prefers capital increase rather than selling Sagar shares, aiming to balance growth and leverage prudently.
  • Peak gross debt after expansions is expected to be around ₹1,500 crore.
  • Maintenance CapEx is currently approved and committed, with broader expansion CapEx pending approval.
  • Overall, fundraising is expected via a mix of moderate equity infusion (capital increase) and debt, aligned with their growth and regulatory compliance plans.

See what Sagar Cements Ltd management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.

Capex plans

Yes
- Currently, only maintenance CapEx is approved and being spent, including at Mattampally where kiln and preheater modifications were done to handle higher alternate fuels after 15 years. - Awaiting approval from the investment committee for medium-term/expansion CapEx plans. - Once approved, expansion CapEx may start soon, particularly for the Andhra Phase 2 project, but initial spends this year will be small (mainly advances). - Expected maintenance CapEx averaging around ₹50 crore annually when capacity reaches 12 million tons. - Total expansion CapEx possibly around ₹300 crore, with ₹30-40 crore incurred this fiscal and balance next year, aiming for project completion by FY 2025. - Capital increase preferred route for regulatory compliance at Andhra, not selling existing shares. - Incentives from Madhya Pradesh government worth ₹150 crore sanctioned, paid over 7 years, supporting capex servicing. (Word count: 142)

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