
Samhi Hotels LtdQ3 FY26
Samhi Hotels Ltd Q3 FY26 Earnings Call Analysis
Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.
Price: ₹163P/E: 9.2Market Cap: ₹3.9K Cr
Management growth scorecard
Revenue
Category 3
Margin
Category 3
Fundraise
Yes
Order
N/A
Capex
Yes
2 of 4 growth signals are positive.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
Category 3- →SAMHI expects same-store total revenue growth of 9% to 11% CAGR over the next 3 to 5 years, driven largely by repricing.
- →The upscale segment share is projected to increase to 60% of revenue from the current 4%, substantially impacting revenue growth.
- →RevPAR (Revenue Per Available Room) is conservatively assumed to remain flat till 2030, but management anticipates a 5-6% annual growth, indicating potential upside.
- →New inventory additions, such as ballroom renovations and hotel expansions, especially in Q4, are expected to be absorbed quickly due to strong demand.
- →Long term structural growth is supported by urbanization, airport developments (Navi Mumbai airport with 100+ million passengers), and increasing disposable incomes.
- →The company aims for a 17%-18% CAGR in top-line revenue over the next 3-5 years factoring hotel rebranding and renovations.
- →Navi Mumbai’s large development (700-room project) is expected to redefine SAMHI’s growth over the next decade.
Margin guidance
Category 3- →Guidance assumes RevPAR remains flat from 2025 to 2030 but company expects 5-6% annual RevPAR growth, implying potential upside. (Page 24)
- →Company targets 9%-11% CAGR total revenue growth for same-store hotels over 3-5 years, driven mainly by repricing and rate growth. (Page 11)
- →With hotels due for rebranding and renovation, above-average revenue growth of 17%-18% CAGR expected for next 3-5 years for the company, even before Navi Mumbai project. (Page 11)
- →EBITDA from Navi Mumbai asset guided at INR 180-185 crores, assuming current RevPAR level. (Page 24)
- →EBITDA expected to grow exponentially post-FY27 as newly opened hotels stabilize. (Page 22)
- →Profit after tax reported INR 100 crores in Q2 FY26, up from INR 13 crores previous year, reflecting momentum. (Page 5)
- →Balance sheet strength and free cash flows support funding future growth without leverage concerns. (Pages 6, 22)
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Fundraise plans
Yes- →No immediate new fundraising through debt or equity is planned.
- →Capital expenditures for growth projects (Navi Mumbai INR 650 crores over 4 years, Hyderabad over ~3.5 years) will be funded primarily through operating free cash flow and investable surplus (~INR 1,700 crores).
- →Current leverage is around 3x net debt-to-EBITDA, with a target to reduce to ~2.5x in the medium term.
- →Refinancing is underway for about INR 350 crores of debt, expected to reduce interest rates from 8.4% to 7.9%.
- →Incremental property transfers to the GIC joint venture platform will depend on value creation, not to solve leverage issues.
- →The company feels comfortable managing existing and upcoming projects without additional fundraising due to ample free cash generation.
Order book
- →The company expects to see a strong order book growth driven by new inventory and renovations in H2 FY26.
- →Ballroom renovations and new inventory launches across multiple hotels (Sheraton Hyderabad, Hyatt Place Gurgaon, Kolkata, Greater Noida, Bangalore) will start contributing significantly from Q4 FY26.
- →New inventory absorption is expected to be quick given strong demand, especially in the quarter 4 period.
- →The Navi Mumbai development represents a major investment with a total capex of approximately INR 1,500 crores in phases.
- →The Navi Mumbai asset alone is anticipated to generate EBITDA of around INR 180-185 crores, assuming RevPAR remains flat from 2025 to 2030.
- →The company has a pipeline largely consisting of variable leases which offer lower cost per key and strong growth opportunities.
- →Overall, supply additions and renovations across markets indicate a robust pipeline for the coming years.
Capex plans
Yes- →Total cumulative capex for SAMHI estimated at INR 1,500 crores, including INR 1,100 crores before Navi Mumbai and about INR 650 crores for Navi Mumbai Phase 1.
- →Navi Mumbai Phase 1 development entails 400 rooms with capex of INR 650 crores over 3-4 years (~INR 1.65-1.7 crores per key), well below replacement cost in Mumbai.
- →A 260-room mid-scale variable lease hotel in Hyderabad Financial District is being developed with minimal upfront capital, fitting the capital-efficient growth model.
- →W Hyderabad (170-room luxury hotel in HITEC City) is on track for December 2026 opening, expected to boost ARR and same-store growth.
- →INR 75-80 crores extension premium and INR 100-150 crores FSI premium payable for Navi Mumbai land deal with MIDC.
- →About INR 350 crores free cash on hand invested in Tribute Bangalore, W Hyderabad, and new hotel openings.
- →Guidance to maintain net debt to EBITDA around 2.9-3x short term, moving to 2.5x midterm, leveraging investable surplus to fund capex without balance sheet stress.
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