Satia Industries Ltd
Q1 FY22 Earnings Call Analysis
Paper, Forest & Jute Products
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
๐ฐfundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- As of May 26, 2022, the company's outstanding debt stood at approximately Rs. 410 crores (Rs. 370 crores term loan and Rs. 40 crores short-term debt).
- Pending disbursement of around Rs. 80-90 crores indicates ongoing utilization of existing debt facilities.
- The company expects average annual debt repayment of about Rs. 100 crores over the next three years, aiming to reduce debt levels to around Rs. 370 crores or below.
- No explicit mention of any new fundraising through fresh debt or equity in the presented discussion.
- The management is focusing on capacity enhancements and operational efficiency with the existing financial structure.
- Future CAPEX plans (e.g., on PM3) remain undecided, indicating no immediate plans for additional large-scale fundraising.
๐๏ธcapex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- Expansion of in-house pulping capacity: Increasing agro-based pulp capacity from 200 tons to around 250-300 tons and wood pulp capacity from 150 tons to 300 tons by mid-June and September respectively (Page 15).
- Plans for potential additional machines, especially targeting export markets such as the US, to increase capacity and product range (Page 12).
- No immediate CAPEX plans on PM3 for increasing speed or production, but possibility exists in future (Page 14).
- Focus on backward integration initiatives like boiler, caustic soda recovery, and REC credits to enhance process efficiency (Page 14).
- Cutlery segment machines installed but further investment deferred pending governmentโs stance on plastic ban (expected around July 1); expansion planned post clarity (Page 7, 15).
- Overall, the company prioritizes increasing pulp production capacity and cautious expansion in new segments aligned with government policies and market demand.
๐revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- The company expects to produce over 2 lakh tons of paper in financial year 2023.
- Total revenue is projected around โน1400-1500 crore for FY23.
- EBITDA margins are expected to be around 20% in the coming year.
- Capacity utilization for the new machine (PM4) is targeted to increase from 70% in the current year to 100% in FY24.
- Production capacity is expected to grow by about 20% with improvements to PM3 and PM4 machines.
- The company plans incremental volume growth supported by increased internal pulping capacity (from 350 tons/day to 600 tons/day).
- Export demand for writing and printing paper has increased by 30-35%, with writing & printing segment growth at 90-100% YoY, aiding future sales growth.
- Future capacity expected to stabilize around 235,000-240,000 tons by FY24 with possible marginal increases.
๐margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Satia Industries expects to produce over 2 lakh tons of paper in FY23, with revenues around โน1400-1500 crores.
- Management targets an EBITDA margin of approximately 20% in the coming year.
- Profit Before Tax (PBT) is expected at about 12%-13%, and Profit After Tax (PAT) at around 10%.
- Capacity utilization for the new machine is planned to increase from 70% in FY22 to 100% in FY24, supporting volume growth.
- The total production capacity is expected to increase by almost 20%, raising capacity from 205,000 tons to approximately 235,000-240,000 tons by FY24.
- Fixed asset turnover is anticipated to improve from around 1.8-1.9x in FY23 to 2.2-2.5x by FY24.
- Moderate price increases and raw material cost stabilization are expected to aid margin expansion despite inflationary pressures.
๐orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- Current firm order book for State Textbook Corporation is approximately 15,000 tons.
- Additional orders expected from UP Basic Supply with total requirement around 30,000 tons; Satia anticipates securing 10-20% share.
- Expecting a significant order from NCERT within the next 10-15 days at a favorable price.
- Present confirmed orders stand at about 10,000-12,000 tons.
- Additional market orders of 6,000-7,000 tons, totaling roughly 45-50 days of production capacity.
