Satia Industries Ltd

Q1 FY22 Earnings Call Analysis

Paper, Forest & Jute Products

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- As of May 26, 2022, the company's outstanding debt stood at approximately Rs. 410 crores (Rs. 370 crores term loan and Rs. 40 crores short-term debt). - Pending disbursement of around Rs. 80-90 crores indicates ongoing utilization of existing debt facilities. - The company expects average annual debt repayment of about Rs. 100 crores over the next three years, aiming to reduce debt levels to around Rs. 370 crores or below. - No explicit mention of any new fundraising through fresh debt or equity in the presented discussion. - The management is focusing on capacity enhancements and operational efficiency with the existing financial structure. - Future CAPEX plans (e.g., on PM3) remain undecided, indicating no immediate plans for additional large-scale fundraising.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Expansion of in-house pulping capacity: Increasing agro-based pulp capacity from 200 tons to around 250-300 tons and wood pulp capacity from 150 tons to 300 tons by mid-June and September respectively (Page 15). - Plans for potential additional machines, especially targeting export markets such as the US, to increase capacity and product range (Page 12). - No immediate CAPEX plans on PM3 for increasing speed or production, but possibility exists in future (Page 14). - Focus on backward integration initiatives like boiler, caustic soda recovery, and REC credits to enhance process efficiency (Page 14). - Cutlery segment machines installed but further investment deferred pending governmentโ€™s stance on plastic ban (expected around July 1); expansion planned post clarity (Page 7, 15). - Overall, the company prioritizes increasing pulp production capacity and cautious expansion in new segments aligned with government policies and market demand.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- The company expects to produce over 2 lakh tons of paper in financial year 2023. - Total revenue is projected around โ‚น1400-1500 crore for FY23. - EBITDA margins are expected to be around 20% in the coming year. - Capacity utilization for the new machine (PM4) is targeted to increase from 70% in the current year to 100% in FY24. - Production capacity is expected to grow by about 20% with improvements to PM3 and PM4 machines. - The company plans incremental volume growth supported by increased internal pulping capacity (from 350 tons/day to 600 tons/day). - Export demand for writing and printing paper has increased by 30-35%, with writing & printing segment growth at 90-100% YoY, aiding future sales growth. - Future capacity expected to stabilize around 235,000-240,000 tons by FY24 with possible marginal increases.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Satia Industries expects to produce over 2 lakh tons of paper in FY23, with revenues around โ‚น1400-1500 crores. - Management targets an EBITDA margin of approximately 20% in the coming year. - Profit Before Tax (PBT) is expected at about 12%-13%, and Profit After Tax (PAT) at around 10%. - Capacity utilization for the new machine is planned to increase from 70% in FY22 to 100% in FY24, supporting volume growth. - The total production capacity is expected to increase by almost 20%, raising capacity from 205,000 tons to approximately 235,000-240,000 tons by FY24. - Fixed asset turnover is anticipated to improve from around 1.8-1.9x in FY23 to 2.2-2.5x by FY24. - Moderate price increases and raw material cost stabilization are expected to aid margin expansion despite inflationary pressures.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Current firm order book for State Textbook Corporation is approximately 15,000 tons. - Additional orders expected from UP Basic Supply with total requirement around 30,000 tons; Satia anticipates securing 10-20% share. - Expecting a significant order from NCERT within the next 10-15 days at a favorable price. - Present confirmed orders stand at about 10,000-12,000 tons. - Additional market orders of 6,000-7,000 tons, totaling roughly 45-50 days of production capacity.