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Satia Industries LtdQ2 FY23

Satia Industries Ltd Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 55.6P/E: 9.0Market Cap: ₹638 CrSector: Paper, Forest & Jute Products

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 4

Margin

Category 2

Fundraise

Yes

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

3 of 5 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 4
  • The company expects a 5% to 10% increase in volume for the current financial year compared to last year (Page 11).
  • Capacity utilization is around 90%, with plans to expand production capacity by approximately 100 tons per day in FY 24-25 (Page 9).
  • Order book remains robust with expected orders of around 30,000 tons valued at approximately ₹300 crores including GST (Page 12).
  • New orders from clients such as NCERT and DAV Committee provide good revenue visibility and pricing stability (Page 5, Page 7).
  • Management anticipates steady demand, with no concerns over selling despite seasonal off-seasons (Page 7).
  • EBITDA margins are expected to moderate slightly but full-year topline is projected around ₹1,700-1,800 crores with possible +5% to +10% volume growth (Page 7).

Margin guidance

Category 2
  • Q1 FY24 PAT surged by 178% YoY to Rs. 841 million, indicating strong growth momentum.
  • The company expects a 5% to 10% increase in volume for the fiscal year.
  • EBITDA margin for FY24 is expected around 25%, slightly down from a peak of 31% in Q1, due to raw material price normalization.
  • Management anticipates a 200 basis points improvement in EBITDA margin during FY24 over FY23.
  • Topline revenue guidance for FY24 is between Rs. 1,700 to 1,800 crores, with a bottom-line around ±12%.
  • Capacity utilization is currently near peak, with plans for a potential 100 tons/day expansion in FY24-25 to support growth.
  • Order book robust with a minimum order intake of 30,000 tons (~Rs. 300 crores), ensuring revenue visibility.
  • Continued cost-saving measures (lower raw material, fuel, packaging) have supported margin improvement.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • Currently, there is no immediate plan for equity fundraising through preferential allotment, though it remains a possibility in the future.
  • Term loans outstanding are around Rs. 310 crores, with expected repayments and disbursements balancing out, targeting about Rs. 285-300 crores outstanding by March 2024.
  • Existing loans are being used to fund ongoing CAPEX, including the rice straw-based boiler and hardwood pulping capacity expansion.
  • The company has tie-ups with UCO Bank and HDFC Bank for these loans.
  • Working capital utilization is low, around Rs. 20-25 crores, mostly non-fund based bank guarantees.
  • No fresh term loans are confirmed beyond current arrangements; disbursements and prepayments are managed simultaneously.

Order book

Yes
  • Current order book includes orders worth approximately 15,000 to 20,000 tons at the start of the quarter, largely cleared in Q1 FY24.
  • New orders secured from prestigious clients such as NCERT and DAV Committee.
  • Expecting total incoming orders of around 30,000 tons, valued roughly at Rs. 300 crores including GST.
  • Forecast of 40,000 to 50,000 tons of orders expected in next 4 to 5 months (Aug-Sep timeframe) from 4-5 textbook boards.
  • These upcoming orders are expected to have better pricing than average market rates.
  • Order execution is planned throughout Q2 and Q3 FY24, providing strong revenue visibility.
  • Management optimistic about steady inflow and execution of orders, reflecting robust demand.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Current year CAPEX is planned at approximately Rs. 150 crores.
  • Major ongoing investments include:
  • - Rice straw-based boiler expected to be commissioned in the last quarter.
  • - Hardwood pulping capacity expansion, currently on slow pace due to competitiveness of imported hardwood pulp.
  • Expansion for capacity increase by about 100 tons per day is planned for FY24-25, pending necessary clearances.
  • CAPEX funded through existing loans and new loans tied up with UCO Bank (boiler) and HDFC Bank (hardwood pulping).
  • The company is monitoring government implementation in molded products sector but continues management focus without significant progress yet.

How does Satia Industries Ltd rank vs peers in Paper, Forest & Jute Products?

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1Satia Industries Ltd
Rev 4Mar 2

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