Satia Industries Ltd
Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis
Paper, Forest & Jute Products
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 4margin: Category 2orderbook: Yes
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- Currently, there is no immediate plan for equity fundraising through preferential allotment, though it remains a possibility in the future.
- Term loans outstanding are around Rs. 310 crores, with expected repayments and disbursements balancing out, targeting about Rs. 285-300 crores outstanding by March 2024.
- Existing loans are being used to fund ongoing CAPEX, including the rice straw-based boiler and hardwood pulping capacity expansion.
- The company has tie-ups with UCO Bank and HDFC Bank for these loans.
- Working capital utilization is low, around Rs. 20-25 crores, mostly non-fund based bank guarantees.
- No fresh term loans are confirmed beyond current arrangements; disbursements and prepayments are managed simultaneously.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- Current year CAPEX is planned at approximately Rs. 150 crores.
- Major ongoing investments include:
- Rice straw-based boiler expected to be commissioned in the last quarter.
- Hardwood pulping capacity expansion, currently on slow pace due to competitiveness of imported hardwood pulp.
- Expansion for capacity increase by about 100 tons per day is planned for FY24-25, pending necessary clearances.
- CAPEX funded through existing loans and new loans tied up with UCO Bank (boiler) and HDFC Bank (hardwood pulping).
- The company is monitoring government implementation in molded products sector but continues management focus without significant progress yet.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- The company expects a 5% to 10% increase in volume for the current financial year compared to last year (Page 11).
- Capacity utilization is around 90%, with plans to expand production capacity by approximately 100 tons per day in FY 24-25 (Page 9).
- Order book remains robust with expected orders of around 30,000 tons valued at approximately ₹300 crores including GST (Page 12).
- New orders from clients such as NCERT and DAV Committee provide good revenue visibility and pricing stability (Page 5, Page 7).
- Management anticipates steady demand, with no concerns over selling despite seasonal off-seasons (Page 7).
- EBITDA margins are expected to moderate slightly but full-year topline is projected around ₹1,700-1,800 crores with possible +5% to +10% volume growth (Page 7).
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Q1 FY24 PAT surged by 178% YoY to Rs. 841 million, indicating strong growth momentum.
- The company expects a 5% to 10% increase in volume for the fiscal year.
- EBITDA margin for FY24 is expected around 25%, slightly down from a peak of 31% in Q1, due to raw material price normalization.
- Management anticipates a 200 basis points improvement in EBITDA margin during FY24 over FY23.
- Topline revenue guidance for FY24 is between Rs. 1,700 to 1,800 crores, with a bottom-line around ±12%.
- Capacity utilization is currently near peak, with plans for a potential 100 tons/day expansion in FY24-25 to support growth.
- Order book robust with a minimum order intake of 30,000 tons (~Rs. 300 crores), ensuring revenue visibility.
- Continued cost-saving measures (lower raw material, fuel, packaging) have supported margin improvement.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- Current order book includes orders worth approximately 15,000 to 20,000 tons at the start of the quarter, largely cleared in Q1 FY24.
- New orders secured from prestigious clients such as NCERT and DAV Committee.
- Expecting total incoming orders of around 30,000 tons, valued roughly at Rs. 300 crores including GST.
- Forecast of 40,000 to 50,000 tons of orders expected in next 4 to 5 months (Aug-Sep timeframe) from 4-5 textbook boards.
- These upcoming orders are expected to have better pricing than average market rates.
- Order execution is planned throughout Q2 and Q3 FY24, providing strong revenue visibility.
- Management optimistic about steady inflow and execution of orders, reflecting robust demand.
