Satia Industries Ltd
Q3 FY20 Earnings Call Analysis
Paper, Forest & Jute Products
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 1orderbook: Yes
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- Satia Industries is exploring acquisition opportunities, notably Ballarpur Industries, with interest from private equity funds for funding.
- The company has engaged PWC for due diligence on this acquisition to evaluate viability.
- Funding for the acquisition appears manageable due to private equity interest; no specific amount finalized yet.
- No explicit mention of new debt or equity fundraising apart from acquisition-related funding interest.
- Existing loans are being efficiently managed with reductions in term loans and working capital limits.
- Bank discussions (PNB) are ongoing for releasing promoter pledge linked to loans, indicating active debt management but no new significant borrowings disclosed.
Overall, the company is actively considering acquisition funding through private equity and internal resources but no confirmed new debt or equity issuance announced.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- Ongoing new project with a total cost of approximately ₹400 crore, with ₹263 crore already spent.
- Paper machine erection is about 50% complete; 80-85% machinery has landed, rest expected in 1-2 months.
- New boiler and turbine are commissioned and under trials; rice straw-based boiler started, reducing fuel cost.
- Cutlery segment: ordered two fully automatic machines with 6 tonnes/day capacity; machines in transit and expected commissioning by last quarter.
- Expansion plan to increase wood pulping capacity from 120-130 tonnes/day to 300 tonnes/day in 6-7 months.
- Considering acquisition of Ballarpur Industries' Shri Gopal unit; due diligence ongoing with interest from private equity for funding.
- Exploring opportunities related to Rayon grid pulp unit in Andhra with potential associates and equity fund interest.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Current board and brown paper demand is excellent; writing and printing paper demand slightly slow but expected to rise with school reopenings.
- Approximately 90% of Indian mills operate at 80-100% capacity, indicating strong industry activity.
- Price increases of 15-20% are anticipated by the end of the last quarter and into the next financial year's first quarter due to raw material and logistic challenges.
- New production capacity coming online should drive volume growth.
- Order book for the third quarter healthy with more than two months of orders, including significant government textbook corporation contracts.
- Expansion projects underway, including increasing wood-based pulp capacity and new product lines like paper cup stock and cutlery.
- Optimism about growth fueled by the anticipated normalization of demand post-COVID and implementation of new education policies leading to higher spending on education.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Expectation of price increases in paper by 15%-20% minimum by end of last quarter and first quarter of next year due to rising pulp and waste paper prices, supply constraints, and logistics issues.
- Company is well-positioned with no raw material or logistic issues, and new production capacity coming into operation, leading to optimism for improved earnings.
- EBITDA margin expected to improve from current ~24% to a conservative range of 26%-27%, with potential to reach 30% practically.
- Margin improvement driven by backward integration, in-house power generation, and soda recovery plant reducing input costs significantly.
- New project (expansion and modernization) underway, with machinery installation progressing; expected to start contributing half to nine months numbers in next financial year, supporting earnings growth.
- Improved operational efficiency and higher capacity utilization (over 117%) amid industry challenges indicate sustainable profit growth.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- Satia Industries Limited reported a healthy order book position of more than two months as of December 22, 2020.
- Major customers include various state textbook corporations from Assam, Odisha, Punjab, Himachal Pradesh, Telangana.
- The company is expecting a very big order in the near future from another state textbook corporation, for which they have already tendered.
- Despite market demand being slightly subdued due to school closures, the company is optimistic about future demand recovery with the rollout of the COVID-19 vaccine and implementation of the new education policy.
- The government business continues to constitute around 40%-50% of their order book.
