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Schaeffler India LtdQ3 FY24

Schaeffler India Ltd Q3 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 4,158P/E: 50.4Market Cap: ₹63.0K CrSector: Auto Components

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 4

Fundraise

Yes

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Schaeffler India expects continued double-digit growth in various sectors including automotive technologies, bearings & industrial solutions, and vehicle lifetime solutions, despite some recent challenges in passenger vehicle demand.
  • Industrial sectors like wind energy, railways, raw material sectors, and two-wheelers are showing strong traction and contributing to growth.
  • New business wins, such as the e-motor axle project with Tata and other EV-related contracts, support future growth opportunities.
  • Exports to Southeast Asia are being evaluated with potential in two-wheelers, though growth size may differ from Europe.
  • Capex of INR 1,500 crores over 3 years aims to support capacity expansion, localization, and efficiency improvements, with investment remaining agile based on business needs.
  • Revenue growth for Q3 FY24 was 12.1% YoY, with automotive technologies growing at 10.7% YoY and bearings & industrial solutions at 13%, indicating strong underlying volume/revenue momentum.
  • Cautious outlook on passenger vehicle production due to high inventory but slow growth expected in tractors aided by a good monsoon.

Margin guidance

Category 4
  • The company expects new business wins, such as Tata and e-motor axles projects, to drive additional investments and growth beyond initial capex estimates (Page 17).
  • Start-up ventures like KRSV Innovative Auto Solutions are projected to break even by end of 2026 and generate positive cash flow from 2027 onwards (Page 17).
  • Sustained double-digit growth is anticipated across key sectors including railways, two-wheelers, raw materials, and wind energy, with distributorship also targeted for strong growth (Pages 14-15).
  • EBITDA margins saw slight pressure due to inflationary employee costs and absence of one-time incomes, but the company maintains focus on margin improvement (Page 13).
  • Continued judicious capex spending aimed at capacity expansion and localization, with a slowdown in capex planned for next year to realize benefits from prior investments (Page 17).
  • Overall, Schaeffler expects to maintain growth momentum and profitability, leveraging diversified portfolio and operational agility despite challenging market conditions (Pages 6-8, 17).

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • There is no explicit mention of any current or future fundraising through debt or equity in the document.
  • The company emphasizes judicious and flexible investment approaches, focusing on realizing benefits from existing capex rather than immediate new large-scale fundraising.
  • Any additional investments will be driven by new business wins warranting such investments.
  • The company acknowledges that capex may fluctuate depending on business needs but does not indicate plans for raising funds specifically through debt or equity.
  • The focus remains on efficiently leveraging current investments and maintaining agility in capital allocation rather than on raising new funds.

Order book

  • Harsha Kadam mentioned they do not have visibility of the end customer orders or inventory levels beyond their shipments based on received order books.
  • The company ships materials to sister plants, which manage downstream sales and customer orders.
  • Due to this, Schaeffler India Limited does not have direct insights into pending orders or the complete order book status beyond what they produce and dispatch.
  • For European exports, the market is currently sluggish with weak demand and some destocking, but no clear timeline for improvement was shared.
  • Investments and capex plans are aligned with new business wins, such as the Tata e-motor axles, which were unforeseen when initial investment estimates were made. The order pipeline seems active but details are not fully disclosed.

Capex plans

Yes
  • The company announced a capex of INR 1,000 crores initially in 2022, revised to INR 1,500 crores, and has already slightly exceeded this amount by 2024.
  • Most growth- and localization-related capex will be realized by the end of 2024; capex spending will slow down in 2025 to focus on realizing the benefits of prior investments.
  • Additional investments beyond INR 1,500 crores were necessary due to new business wins such as Tata and e-motor axle projects.
  • Capex remains flexible and agile, adjusted according to business needs and market conditions.
  • The greenfield Hosur plant investment is approximately INR 300 crores, and production is set to start early 2025, initially for transmission components including clutches, with plans to scale to EV-related products.
  • Future investments will be judicious, balancing new opportunities with maximizing utilization of existing capacities.

How does Schaeffler India Ltd rank vs peers in Auto Components?

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1Schaeffler India Ltd
Rev 3Mar 4

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