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Shalby LtdQ1 FY23

Shalby Ltd

Q1 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Implant business expects 50-70% growth compared to the current year (Page 15).
  • Hospital business grew about 20% in FY23 and is projected to continue at 15-20% growth next year (Page 11).
  • Sales volume growth seen as much higher compared to previous years, with FY23 India sales being 3x that of FY22, volumes possibly 5x (Page 16).
  • US implant business aims to become a USD 100 million business in 5 years with 60% revenue from the US, 40% outside (Page 6).
  • For the SOC (Surgical Operating Center) model, revenues expected to improve as new units mature and mature existing units increase surgeries (Page 18).
  • Target to achieve single-digit positive margins and 15% return on capital employed over the coming years (Pages 17-18).

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Hospital business expected to grow at 20-25% over the next 2-3 years as occupancy increases and expansion occurs.
  • Implant business aims to achieve USD 100 million in revenue within 5 years with a 20%+ EBITDA margin.
  • For FY23, hospital revenue grew 10% to Rs. 728 crore; EBITDA grew 13% to Rs. 161 crore; PAT margin stood at 11%.
  • Consolidated EBITDA margin expected to be around 17-20% with margin expansion due to operating leverage.
  • US implant business has grown over 3-fold in FY23 with EBITDA positive; projected to have healthy margins going forward.
  • Company targets being operational expenses neutral in implant business this fiscal year.
  • Expect single-digit positive EBITDA for implant business in near term.
  • Overall guidance includes strong double-digit growth in hospital business and margin improvements.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
- A significant portion of recent fundraising was used primarily to repay existing loan facilities, with a smaller part allocated to working capital requirements. (Page 22) - There is an existing investment of around INR 100 crore into the subsidiary Mars Medical through preferential shares, indicating equity infusion. (Page 21) - The company maintains a low gearing ratio (0.03x at standalone level and 0.15x at group level), indicating a strong balance sheet with limited reliance on debt. (Page 6 and 5) - No explicit mention of plans for new debt or equity fundraising in the near future; current focus appears to be on managing working capital and repaying existing debt. (Page 22) - Capex plans exist but primarily focused on utilizing idle capacity and modest incremental spending rather than large new financing. (Page 20-21) In summary, no new significant fundraising through debt or equity was disclosed beyond managing existing liabilities and strategic investments.

Order book

  • The transcript does not explicitly mention the current or expected order book or pending orders in numeric or summarized terms.
  • Vishal inquires about the number of contracts won and lost, indicating active contract management.
  • Sushobhan mentions that one annual contract was lost in the mid-western state, but they have won a couple of contracts recently.
  • The lost contract involves a centralized contract with multiple hospitals, allowing for partial mitigation through local purchases.
  • Most contracts are annual, with some lasting up to 3 years.
  • There is an ongoing effort to reinstate lost business and acquire new contracts, showing optimism for future order inflows.
  • No specific figures regarding total order book size or pending orders are disclosed in the provided pages.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Incremental Capex focus areas: machinery, plant & equipment; infrastructure (building); and instrumentation.
  • FY23 Capex mainly on instrumentation to support expansion into Indonesia, Latin America, Malaysia, and India.
  • Minimal machinery replacement, e.g., $50-60K for X-ray templating machine.
  • No plans for full automation due to high cost; current 80-85% capacity utilization can support 5-year strategic growth.
  • Space available in El Dorado Hills facility for future machines and warehouse optimization.
  • Investment of ₹100 crore in subsidiary Mars Medical via preferential shares to support implant business growth.
  • Ongoing need for continuous investment in surgical instruments (due to wear and metal fatigue) integral to implants business.
  • Company envisions reaching $100 million business in 5 years with over 20% EBITDA margin, backed by strategic leadership team buildup.

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