Shriram Properties Ltd
Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis
Realty
capex: Yesfundraise: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- No explicit mention of new equity fundraising in the provided transcript.
- Management highlighted managing gross debt levels around INR 300-350 crores for FY24 and FY25, indicating controlled borrowing.
- Debt repayment is ongoing, including redemption of INR 100 crores debenture associated with a project acquisition.
- There are plans for land monetization (e.g., in Chennai and Bengal) expected to generate cash inflows in Q3, potentially reducing net debt.
- Current and future gross debts arise mainly from construction financing at the project level; net debt is targeted to approach zero by FY25.
- No direct statements about raising new equity or debt, but some borrowing at individual project levels (INR 16 crores) occurs regularly.
- Management emphasizes improving cash flow and reducing interest costs rather than new large-scale fundraising.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- Shriram Properties has ongoing construction and project investments, including JV advances (noted INR17 crores outflow in one quarter).
- Focus on construction spend target of INR750 crores for FY24, fueled by two new Chennai launches: Prime Paradiso and 122 West.
- Completed acquisition of a 1.88 million sq. ft project (Shriram 122 West), being launched in August-September 2023; this project is part of the ASK Shriram Co-Investment Platform (80% ASK capital, 20% Shriram).
- Capital platform utilization at ~60% (~INR300 crores used from a INR500 crores partnership platform).
- Ongoing enhancement of project pipeline with 43 million sq. ft development potential, including 23 million ongoing and 20 million yet to be launched.
- Plans for monetization of land parcels, including one in Chennai, to reduce net debt and generate free cash flow.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Strong demand outlook for the next 3-5 years, especially in mid-market housing, supported by India story and market consolidation.
- Targeting at least 20% CAGR in volumes over the longer term.
- Full-year handover target of about 3,000 units (~3.4-3.5 million sq ft) in FY24 to boost revenue recognition (~INR 1,500-1,600 crores).
- Pipeline of 52 million sq ft with 23 million sq ft ongoing projects and 20 million sq ft available for launch.
- Expect revenue and volume growth supported by 11-12 project launches planned for the year.
- Realizations have grown by about 9% quarter-on-quarter, driven by price hikes and product mix improvements.
- Sustainable EBITDA margins expected in the 20-25% range.
- Revenue recognition momentum to continue driven by project completions and handovers through FY23-25.
- Overall, a positive market environment with stable demand and controlled supply in key cities.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Management expects a strong earnings visibility over the next 3 years, supported by 70% of project revenues from volumes already sold till FY23 and Q1 FY24.
- Targeting at least 20% CAGR in volumes with sustained profitability.
- EBITDA margins are targeted to stabilize in the 20%-25% range during this year and going forward.
- EPS run rate around INR 4, with second half (Q4) expected to be stronger due to revenue recognition seasonality.
- Positive net earnings with improving margins and returns are key focus areas.
- Revenues expected to grow with 3.5 million sq.ft. of handovers and INR 1,500-1,600 crores revenue recognition expected in FY24.
- Management confident that markets will take note of improved earnings and treat the stock appropriately over time.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- Ongoing project pipeline comprises 19 projects, all launched.
- Total ongoing project area: 23 million sq. ft., with Shriram Properties owning ~21 million sq. ft.
- Approximately 80% of the ongoing project pipeline is already sold.
- Sold receivables collectible amount from ongoing projects is INR 2,500 crores.
- Unsold value in ongoing projects is about INR 2,000 crores.
- Total balance collectible from ongoing projects is roughly INR 4,500 crores.
- For FY '24, about 5.7 million sq. ft. is expected to be launched, mostly under JDA category.
- Current pipeline includes 52 million sq. ft. overall, with 23 million sq. ft. ongoing and 20 million sq. ft. planned for launch.
- Strong demand outlook supports comfortable achievement of full-year sales targets.
